← Whale Watch

orzanovn

Predicting since Jan 2026286 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $990 riding on Claude 5 released by…?.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$80016¢6.5¢-$475
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3507.0¢0.0¢-$350
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$99033¢0.0¢-$990
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$884.4¢0.0¢-$88
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechYesResolved$38765¢0.0¢-$387
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$351.0¢0.0¢-$35

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$706
Tech+$566
eSports-$550
NBA-$356
Tennis-$218
Finance-$183
UFC / MMA-$70
Crypto-$61
Cricket+$49
Basketball (other)-$27
Hockey (other)+$21
Economy+$19
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.7K
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$4001mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2.5K1mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump out as President by June 30?$3503mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$03mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2753mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$5493mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$3213mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2673mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$8003mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$63mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$443mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$53mo ago