| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Soccer (other) | No | $53 | 53¢ | 78¢ | +$25 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $58 | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | No | $53 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?Soccer (other) | No | $42 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$5 |
 Will 100 Thieves Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?eSports | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 42¢ | +$28 |
 Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?Culture | Yes | $26 | 22¢ | 34¢ | +$15 |
 Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$9 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $34 | 57¢ | 67¢ | +$6 |
| Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?Soccer (other) | No | $22 | 40¢ | 70¢ | +$17 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $32 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$7 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 20¢ | 51¢ | +$23 |
 Will Team Liquid make a roster change before September?eSports | Yes | $25 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
 Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $31 | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
 QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $32 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
 Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?UFC / MMA | No | $27 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 24¢ | 52¢ | +$15 |
 Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?Other | Yes | $26 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | No | $11 | 12¢ | 29¢ | +$16 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Politics | No | $19 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$6 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
 Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Politics | Yes | $25 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
| Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | Yes | $3 | 5.1¢ | 39¢ | +$21 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
 Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?Culture | Yes | $20 | 42¢ | 49¢ | +$4 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 27¢ | 42¢ | +$8 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other) | Yes | $20 | 29¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
 Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $28 | 89¢ | 72¢ | -$5 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Soccer (other) | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 22¢ | +$9 |
 Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Tech | Yes | $20 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
 Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Culture | No | $18 | 47¢ | 55¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 43¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
 Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 40¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
 Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
 Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $4 | 5.3¢ | 27¢ | +$14 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $17 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $18 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $7 | 21¢ | 52¢ | +$10 |
 Will BetBoom Make a Roster Change before September?eSports | Yes | $13 | 29¢ | 39¢ | +$4 |
| Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $16 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
 Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$3 |
 Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Finance | Epic Games | $5 | 11¢ | 35¢ | +$11 |
 Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $9 | 19¢ | 33¢ | +$6 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $14 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 22¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
 Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?Finance | Databricks | $8 | 40¢ | 74¢ | +$7 |
| Will ONIC Win the EWC Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Mid Season Cup?eSports | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 36¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | Yes | $16 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 20¢ | +$5 |
| QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Crypto | No | $8 | 35¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
 Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Politics | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 44¢ | +$7 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 31¢ | 56¢ | +$6 |
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 41¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Weather | Yes | $13 | 38¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Culture | No | $15 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?Culture | No | $7 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 57¢ | 43¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 42¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?Premier League | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$6 |
| Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | No | $4 | 10¢ | 26¢ | +$6 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will OnRe launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$4 |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.7¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Other sports | Yes | $19 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
 Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 31¢ | +$8 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $8 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
| Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?Finance | Stripe | $4 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$4 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 41¢ | +$4 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $11 | 43¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
 Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $13 | 43¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $5 | 29¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
| Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 11¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | No | $4 | 28¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
 Tread FDV above $150M one day after launchCrypto | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tori launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?Finance | Yes | $7 | 6.6¢ | 6.6¢ | +$0 |
 Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 8.5¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
Bought Yes · Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?$124m ago
Bought Yes · Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1231m ago
Sold No · Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of July?$1033m ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$01h ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$01h ago