 Another US bank failure by February 28?Economy | NoResolved | $8 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 6.2¢ | 2.3¢ | -$6 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 "One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 84?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?Culture | NoResolved | $7 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 "Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 70%?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will anyone say "Sovereign" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | YesResolved | $20 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will anyone say "Landlord" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?Culture | NoResolved | $12 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Sold Yes · Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$15mo ago