 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $43 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Politics | No | $32 | 64¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | Yes | $26 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $22 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?MLB | Yes | $23 | 45¢ | 40¢ | -$3 |
 Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Culture | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
| Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?Finance | No | $15 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?Weather | No | $16 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $22 | 43¢ | 29¢ | -$7 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 72¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?Culture | No | $17 | 86¢ | 71¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $15 | 74¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $15 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?Other sports | No | $17 | 84¢ | 66¢ | -$3 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 76¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
| Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $14 | 29¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | No | $15 | 77¢ | 63¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $14 | 71¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 54¢ | -$7 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 66¢ | 53¢ | -$3 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?Weather | No | $10 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 50¢ | -$5 |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 49¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?Other | No | $12 | 60¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Finance | Yes | $13 | 67¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?Weather | No | $13 | 65¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture | No | $12 | 59¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?Weather | No | $10 | 49¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $10 | 48¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $11 | 53¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $8 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?Weather | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 68¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 55¢ | 37¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $8 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 27?Weather | No | $11 | 55¢ | 36¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $9 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | No | $10 | 51¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
| Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $7 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $11 | 55¢ | 33¢ | -$5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 32¢ | -$3 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?Culture | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $9 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMA | Yes | $13 | 67¢ | 31¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?Weather | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
| Will Reformation's market cap be less than $800M at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $13 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$8 |
 Will Shrek 5 be delayed?Other | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Politics | Yes | $9 | 69¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $8 | 39¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 42¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $8 | 39¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $13 | 32¢ | 12¢ | -$8 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 38¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | No | $12 | 61¢ | 23¢ | -$8 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $7 | 36¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Politics | No | $9 | 46¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?World Cup | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$6 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?Weather | No | $4 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $14 | 70¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?Culture | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner engaged in 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $14 | 27¢ | 6.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?World Cup | No | $14 | 69¢ | 14¢ | -$11 |
 Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Politics | No | $6 | 43¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in July?Finance | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 39¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
| Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other) | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 9%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 39¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
 LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Olympics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$122s ago
Sold No · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$1550m ago
Bought Yes · Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?$71h ago