 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 7.9¢ | 3.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $15 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $69 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Kamilla Karthigesu be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Boxing | YesResolved | $25 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $32 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?Finance | NoResolved | $25 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?Culture | NoResolved | $34 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Dolphins vs. SteelersNFL | DolphinsResolved | $40 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Seahawks vs. PatriotsNFL | PatriotsResolved | $20 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $20 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $66 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | YesResolved | $120 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?Champions League | YesResolved | $18 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | NoResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $70 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Colby Donaldson be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $155 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
| Buccaneers vs. BillsNFL | BuccaneersResolved | $13 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$263mo ago