← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jul 2026214 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?TechNo$1313¢13¢-$1
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1229¢27¢-$1
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$1936¢19¢-$9
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechNo$918¢17¢-$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m?CultureNo$883¢77¢-$1
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$825¢23¢-$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$612¢11¢-$1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?CultureYes$1534¢11¢-$10
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?CultureYes$428¢28¢+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceYes$362¢47¢-$1
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Premier LeagueNo$227¢27¢+$0
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 14?FinanceDownResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$65
Finance-$61
Politics-$38
Weather-$32
Culture-$31
Economy-$28
Other sports-$6
Mentions-$1
Other+$1
Premier League+$0
Biggest hit
+$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Toughest beat
-$14
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$517m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$434m ago
  • Bought No · Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?$254m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$31h ago
  • Bought No · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$91h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$62h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$113h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?$64h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?$64h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?$45h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?$135h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?$45h ago