goodluck81

Predicting since Oct 2024429 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.0K on World Cup markets since Oct 2024.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$489	51¢	56¢	+$38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$480	16¢	14¢	-$75
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics	Yes	$375	42¢	42¢	-$2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$153	6.4¢	16¢	+$220
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$216	1.8¢	2.3¢	+$54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics	Yes	$420	28¢	16¢	-$180
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$373	34¢	21¢	-$148
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics	No	$138	55¢	72¢	+$41
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy	Yes	$145	2.4¢	2.5¢	+$8
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$49	3.3¢	8.8¢	+$83
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy	Yes	$116	3.9¢	4.0¢	+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$84	42¢	55¢	+$25
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$100	1.0¢	0.8¢	-$25
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLB	Yes	$45	22¢	34¢	+$22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy	Yes	$53	13¢	9.5¢	-$15
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLB	Yes	$16	2.7¢	5.7¢	+$17
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?MLB	Yes	$14	0.7¢	1.3¢	+$11
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?MLB	Yes	$22	2.7¢	2.7¢	+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$318	5.3¢	0.4¢	-$297
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather	Yes	$105	31¢	0.4¢	-$104
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLB	Yes	$13	12¢	1.3¢	-$12
Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLB	Yes	$4	0.9¢	0.3¢	-$3
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$77	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$77

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$2.0K

MLB+$805

Politics-$600

Tech-$326

Premier League-$320

Economy-$308

Baseball (other)+$265

Weather-$210

Champions League-$186

Culture-$167

Soccer (other)+$89

Mentions-$82

Biggest hit

+$846

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$600

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$174h ago
Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$24h ago
Sold No · Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$184h ago
Sold Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$418h ago
Sold Yes · Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$014h ago
Sold Yes · Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?$41d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$281d ago
Sold Yes · Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$62d ago
Sold Yes · Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$52d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?$52d ago
Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$42d ago