what-would-hayek-do

Predicting since Aug 202541,697 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.1K on Crypto markets since Aug 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$90	77¢	100¢	+$27
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$100	89¢	100¢	+$12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	No	$100	87¢	84¢	-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?Crypto	NoResolved	$20	75¢	100¢	+$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 5?Crypto	NoResolved	$20	84¢	100¢	+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 10?Crypto	NoResolved	$12	67¢	100¢	+$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 3?Crypto	NoResolved	$17	92¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 8?Crypto	NoResolved	$12	73¢	100¢	+$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?Crypto	NoResolved	$12	82¢	100¢	+$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?Crypto	NoResolved	$12	77¢	100¢	+$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?Crypto	NoResolved	$12	77¢	100¢	+$3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	61¢	100¢	+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	61¢	100¢	+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	72¢	100¢	+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	73¢	100¢	+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	71¢	100¢	+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	71¢	100¢	+$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$9	89¢	79¢	-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	83¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	93¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	96¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	90¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	89¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	90¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	92¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	92¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	97¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	98¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?Crypto	NoResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 3?Crypto	NoResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	98¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	98¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	97¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	97¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	98¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	98¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	99¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 10?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	92¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 9PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	97¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 3PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 8AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $50,000 and $52,000 on July 2?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	97¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	32¢	100¢	+$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	98¢	100¢	+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	99¢	100¢	+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	50¢	100¢	+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 17?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	72¢	0.0¢	-$6
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	93¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	69¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 22?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	76¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	71¢	0.0¢	-$6
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$4	79¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	63¢	0.0¢	-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 1?Crypto	NoResolved	$7	94¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	71¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	94¢	0.0¢	-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 8AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	96¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	97¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 13?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	75¢	0.0¢	-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	97¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	68¢	0.0¢	-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	98¢	0.0¢	-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	97¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	96¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	90¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	62¢	0.0¢	-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$3	69¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	73¢	0.0¢	-$6
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	94¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$4	89¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?Crypto	YesResolved	$6	71¢	0.0¢	-$6
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?Crypto	NoResolved	$6	71¢	0.0¢	-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	98¢	0.0¢	-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	97¢	0.0¢	-$5
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	99¢	0.0¢	-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	97¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$3.1K

Finance-$61

Politics+$29

Biggest hit

+$127

XRP Up or Down on December 18?

Toughest beat

-$125

XRP Up or Down on December 18?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?$61mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?$51mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?$61mo ago
Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?$51mo ago
Cashed out Down · Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$31mo ago
Cashed out Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$41mo ago
Cashed out No · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?$41mo ago
Cashed out Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$41mo ago
Cashed out Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$41mo ago
Cashed out Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET$41mo ago
Cashed out Down · BNB Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$41mo ago
Cashed out Up · HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 7AM ET$41mo ago