← Whale Watch

what-would-hayek-do

Predicting since Aug 202541,697 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$9077¢100¢+$27
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10089¢100¢+$12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$10087¢89¢+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?CryptoNoResolved$2075¢100¢+$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 5?CryptoNoResolved$2084¢100¢+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 10?CryptoNoResolved$1267¢100¢+$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 3?CryptoNoResolved$1792¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 8?CryptoNoResolved$1273¢100¢+$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?CryptoNoResolved$1282¢100¢+$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?CryptoNoResolved$1277¢100¢+$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?CryptoNoResolved$1277¢100¢+$3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$561¢100¢+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$561¢100¢+$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$672¢100¢+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$673¢100¢+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$671¢100¢+$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$671¢100¢+$2
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$989¢72¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$683¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$693¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$697¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$696¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$590¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$589¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$590¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$692¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$692¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$397¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$398¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?CryptoNoResolved$399¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 3?CryptoNoResolved$399¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9AM ETCryptoUpResolved$398¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$398¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$397¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$397¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$398¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$398¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$399¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ETCryptoUpResolved$399¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 10?CryptoNoResolved$292¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 9PM ETCryptoUpResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$297¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $50,000 and $52,000 on July 2?CryptoNoResolved$299¢100¢+$0
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$299¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$197¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?CryptoNoResolved$032¢100¢+$1
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$199¢100¢+$0
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$198¢100¢+$0
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26?CryptoNoResolved$199¢100¢+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$199¢100¢+$0
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢100¢+$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 17?CryptoNoResolved$672¢0.0¢-$6
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$593¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?CryptoNoResolved$669¢0.0¢-$6
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 22?CryptoNoResolved$576¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10?CryptoNoResolved$671¢0.0¢-$6
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$663¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 1?CryptoNoResolved$794¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16?CryptoYesResolved$671¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$596¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 13?CryptoYesResolved$675¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?CryptoNoResolved$568¢0.0¢-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$598¢0.0¢-$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$596¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$590¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$362¢0.0¢-$3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$369¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 24?CryptoNoResolved$673¢0.0¢-$6
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$594¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$489¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?CryptoYesResolved$671¢0.0¢-$6
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ETCryptoDownResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?CryptoNoResolved$671¢0.0¢-$6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$598¢0.0¢-$5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$599¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$65
Politics+$43
Biggest hit
+$67
XRP Up or Down on November 18?
Toughest beat
-$69
XRP Up or Down on November 18?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?$65d ago
  • Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?$55d ago
  • Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?$65d ago
  • Bought No · Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?$55d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$35d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$45d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?$45d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$45d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$45d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 11PM ET$45d ago
  • Cashed out Down · BNB Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$45d ago
  • Cashed out Up · HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 7AM ET$45d ago