Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$2.4K |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $619 | 38¢ | 41¢ | +$48 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $355 | 51¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $486 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$202 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $320 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$65 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $312 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$61 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $496 | 33¢ | 16¢ | -$256 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$90 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $234 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$40 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | No | $180 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $217 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$34 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $170 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Tech | No | $197 | 65¢ | 48¢ | -$51 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $100 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $79 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$17 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | No | $159 | 18¢ | 5.3¢ | -$112 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Tech | No | $44 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 92¢ | 33¢ | -$65 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 40¢ | 16¢ | -$36 |
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $154 | 13¢ | 1.7¢ | -$134 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | Yes | $15 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$5 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | -$28 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5World Cup | OverResolved | $1.3K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Culture | YesResolved | $28 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $243 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$243 |
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $160 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $158 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $102 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Politics | NoResolved | $7.6K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.6K |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $96 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?World Cup | NoResolved | $420 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$420 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Culture | YesResolved | $230 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Tech | YesResolved | $565 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$565 |
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford Boxing | CaneloResolved | $1.6K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $64 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $372 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$372 |
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $60 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $50 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? Politics | NoResolved | $70 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $564 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$564 |
Epstein client list released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4.3K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.3K |
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?eSports | NoResolved | $40 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Tech | YesResolved | $5.0K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.0K |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $700 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$700 |
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?eSports | YesResolved | $328 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$328 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $85 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $149 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $958 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$958 |
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $230 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $117 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?Premier League | YesResolved | $970 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$970 |
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $121 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
TikTok sale announced by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $7.2K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.2K |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Culture | YesResolved | $285 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$285 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $243 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$243 |
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Politics | NoResolved | $213 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$213 |
France to score first vs. Morocco?World Cup | NoResolved | $218 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$218 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $486 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$486 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $118 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $2.9K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Culture | YesResolved | $727 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$727 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $339 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$339 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $670 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$670 |
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | AlgeriaResolved | $230 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Culture | YesResolved | $11 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico UFC / MMA | Pico Resolved | $250 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $27 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?Tech | NoResolved | $1.4K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?eSports | YesResolved | $128 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?NBA | YesResolved | $66 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $34 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $94 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Knicks vs. SpursNBA | SpursResolved | $480 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$480 |
Ukraine election called in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $443 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$443 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?Tech | YesResolved | $289 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$289 |
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4.1K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?Tech | YesResolved | $72 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $419 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$419 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $261 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $334 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$334 |
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?Politics | RaiseResolved | $1.7K | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $1.9K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $84 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $65 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $28 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |