← Whale Watch

JasonPunos

Predicting since Oct 2025915 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $15K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $5.6K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.8K71¢90¢+$702
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K75¢80¢+$140
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$2.2K86¢87¢+$10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$3.5K79¢49¢-$1.3K
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K59¢48¢-$332
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K68¢44¢-$676
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$77077¢78¢+$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$17688¢88¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$14690¢99¢+$15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$16227¢26¢-$9
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$16146¢42¢-$12
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$11895¢99¢+$5
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$9393¢95¢+$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$9331¢31¢-$2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6292¢98¢+$4
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3785¢99¢+$6
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?PoliticsYes$14991¢11¢-$132
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$953¢52¢-$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?PoliticsNoResolved$189¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.2K84¢0.0¢-$4.2K
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$368¢0.0¢-$3
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$68753¢0.0¢-$687
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$62062¢0.0¢-$620
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam SolidResolved$11918¢0.0¢-$119
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$9030¢0.0¢-$90
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?World CupNoResolved$4.5K78¢0.0¢-$4.5K
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsWorld CupNoResolved$48096¢0.0¢-$480
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$181.2¢0.0¢-$18
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?PoliticsNoResolved$2270¢0.0¢-$22
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?CryptoNoResolved$99018¢0.0¢-$990
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$64363¢0.0¢-$643
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K67¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?PoliticsNoResolved$35889¢0.0¢-$358
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$740¢0.0¢-$7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$3192¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?PoliticsNoResolved$1.4K82¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?PoliticsNoResolved$1.5K47¢0.0¢-$1.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$85246¢0.0¢-$852
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$36965¢0.0¢-$369
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28394¢0.0¢-$283
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?PoliticsNoResolved$40088¢0.0¢-$400
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$19946¢0.0¢-$199
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupNoResolved$1.4K87¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$31166¢0.0¢-$311
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?WeatherNoResolved$10871¢0.0¢-$108
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?TechNoResolved$243.3¢0.0¢-$24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$63813¢0.0¢-$638
Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?MentionsNoResolved$2411¢0.0¢-$24
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$4712¢0.0¢-$47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?FinanceNoResolved$145.0¢0.0¢-$14
France vs. England: O/U 4.5World CupUnderResolved$51874¢0.0¢-$518
France vs. England: O/U 7.5World CupUnderResolved$2.0K98¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K60¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$330.3¢0.0¢-$33
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15116¢0.0¢-$151
Will "Ford v. Ferrari" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
France vs. England: O/U 6.5World CupUnderResolved$1.0K95¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$13869¢0.0¢-$138
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$3337¢0.0¢-$33
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?PoliticsNoResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$8969¢0.0¢-$89
Will "The Grinch" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$760¢0.0¢-$7
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?PoliticsYesResolved$57057¢0.0¢-$570
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureNoResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World CupNoResolved$5615¢0.0¢-$56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K37¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$1.3K89¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?PoliticsNoResolved$20049¢0.0¢-$200
France vs. England: O/U 5.5World CupUnderResolved$50088¢0.0¢-$500

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$15K
World Cup-$13K
Finance+$3.3K
Culture+$2.1K
Crypto-$565
Tech-$403
Boxing+$386
Mentions-$287
Economy+$200
Weather-$108
eSports+$97
UFC / MMA-$90
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
Toughest beat
-$2.4K
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$56128m ago
  • Sold No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$49931m ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$13233m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$17633m ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$3934m ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$17045m ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$9848m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1131h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$311h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$2101h ago
  • Bought No · Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?$4351h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1141h ago