 Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $49 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $10 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 1.3¢ | 6.3¢ | +$4 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $2 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 46¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Tech | No | $3 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 45¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 44¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchCrypto | No | $2 | 40¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 37¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 27¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 46¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $1 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 54¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $1 | 58¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $2 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $1 | 71¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?World Cup | No | $1 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $1 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $1 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 32¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $2 | 38¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $0 | 14¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will Netflix win the most Emmys?Culture | Yes | $2 | 42¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $1 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $3 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $7 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 175k and 200k?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?$11d ago
Bought No · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$11d ago
Sold No · Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$31d ago
Cashed out No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$22d ago
Sold Yes · Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$13d ago
Bought Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$13d ago
Bought Yes · Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?$13d ago