 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $500 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$89 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $500 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$65 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$38 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $110 | 67¢ | 83¢ | +$26 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $40 | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $40 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $50 | 71¢ | 64¢ | -$5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 53¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $30 | 57¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $30 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | No | $30 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Finance | Yes | $30 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $20 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $67 | 49¢ | 21¢ | -$39 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $30 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Crypto | No | $20 | 52¢ | 62¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?Crypto | No | $20 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 37¢ | 11¢ | -$54 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Economy | Yes | $20 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
 Will Shrek 5 be delayed?Other | No | $20 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $20 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $20 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | Yes | $60 | 34¢ | 9.2¢ | -$44 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 73¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 31¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Finance | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.3¢ | 2.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 43¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 51¢ | 6.5¢ | -$26 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | Yes | $20 | 87¢ | 16¢ | -$16 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | Yes | $40 | 24¢ | 1.1¢ | -$38 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | Yes | $20 | 15¢ | 1.4¢ | -$18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?Finance | Yes | $5 | 2.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $10 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 ODI Series England vs India: England vs IndiaCricket | IndiaResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | JapanResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 20?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5World Cup | OverResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Morocco to score first vs. France?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$591d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$172d ago