← Whale Watch

machiavelia

Predicting since Dec 20251,331 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $27K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $600 riding on Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?.

Biggest hit: +$8.9K on Will MFK Skalica win on 2026-05-02?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$60031¢92¢+$1.2K
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$60044¢94¢+$679
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$50740¢97¢+$731
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$40043¢98¢+$508
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$40043¢90¢+$438
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next?NFLNo$34245¢100¢+$419
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?PoliticsNo$27242¢98¢+$362
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsNo$17841¢90¢+$211
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$16044¢96¢+$187
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$16144¢91¢+$173
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$60046¢14¢-$419
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$7342¢98¢+$98
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$2942¢96¢+$38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2242¢84¢+$21
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$747¢97¢+$7
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNo$147¢97¢+$1
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$60036¢0.0¢-$600

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$27K
eSports+$14K
World Cup+$9.8K
Soccer (other)+$9.7K
Finance+$7.5K
Tennis+$7.5K
Weather+$3.8K
Cricket-$3.4K
Crypto+$3.4K
MLS+$2.7K
Premier League+$2.0K
Boxing+$1.9K
Biggest hit
+$8.9K
Will MFK Skalica win on 2026-05-02?
Toughest beat
-$800
Gwangju: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Austin FC · Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)$02d ago
  • Cashed out San Diego Padres · Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)$02d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5$02d ago
  • Cashed out Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries$02d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$02d ago
  • Cashed out San Diego Padres · Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)$02d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Houston Astros · Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)$02d ago
  • Cashed out Over · Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5$02d ago