 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $90 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$4 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $33 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 56¢ | -$10 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $80 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$58 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $18 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $32 | 40¢ | 25¢ | -$13 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $19 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $18 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 60¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $18 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 71¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $14 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $12 | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $10 | 52¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Remote IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $12 | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $20 | 65¢ | 37¢ | -$8 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 40¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 59¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 47¢ | +$8 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $18 | 45¢ | 21¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 39¢ | +$4 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 3.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$16 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year?Politics | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 6.4¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 5.7¢ | -$1 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.4¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $3 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 7.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 62¢ | 8.5¢ | -$21 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 6.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?Politics | Yes | $3 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 25¢ | 3.4¢ | -$13 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 9.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.2¢ | 3.4¢ | +$0 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 7.2¢ | -$0 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $92 | 92¢ | 1.3¢ | -$91 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $2 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$132h ago
Cashed out No · Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$013h ago