← Whale Watch

Mbug1717

Predicting since May 2024442 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Crypto markets since May 2024.

Right now: $1.3K across 15 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.5K on Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Seahawks vs. 49ersNFL49ersResolved$170.9¢0.0¢-$17
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$350.5¢0.0¢-$35
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$202.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$250.5¢0.0¢-$25
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$477.6¢0.0¢-$47
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$370.9¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1526¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10642¢0.0¢-$106
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?Other sportsYesResolved$459.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 11 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1960.9¢0.0¢-$196
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1241.5¢0.0¢-$124
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$2017¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2AM ETCryptoDownResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$242.4¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22630¢0.0¢-$226
Dolphins vs. BillsNFLDolphinsResolved$351.2¢0.0¢-$35
Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$200.7¢0.0¢-$20
Panthers vs. BuccaneersNFLPanthersResolved$457.4¢0.0¢-$45
Florida State vs. Florida GatorsOther sportsFlorida StateResolved$201.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$300.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-09-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2244.0¢0.0¢-$224
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$401.1¢0.0¢-$40
Thunder vs. SpursNBAThunderResolved$520.5¢0.0¢-$52
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Russia announces air truce by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1809.0¢0.0¢-$180
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$212.1¢0.0¢-$21
Kent State vs. Florida StateOther sportsKent StateResolved$80.2¢0.0¢-$8
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?PoliticsZelenskyyResolved$2684.4¢0.0¢-$268
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?EconomyNoResolved$720.7¢0.0¢-$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4AM ETCryptoUpResolved$432.1¢0.0¢-$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2722¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$292.6¢0.0¢-$29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$3753.0¢0.0¢-$375
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1977.9¢0.0¢-$197
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$250.1¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9PM ETCryptoDownResolved$20930¢0.0¢-$209
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$662¢0.0¢-$6
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?PoliticsYesResolved$370.9¢0.0¢-$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$52.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsNoResolved$200.4¢0.0¢-$20
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Texans vs. ChiefsNFLChiefsResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?TechNoResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$300.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?CryptoYesResolved$291.9¢0.0¢-$29
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$723.3¢0.0¢-$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$11011¢0.0¢-$110
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$201.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYesResolved$470.2¢0.0¢-$47
Florida State vs. ClemsonOther sportsFlorida StateResolved$241.6¢0.0¢-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1736.4¢0.0¢-$173
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$551.7¢0.0¢-$55
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$327.5¢0.0¢-$32
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1950.6¢0.0¢-$195
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$651.1¢0.0¢-$65
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1AM ETCryptoDownResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Giants vs. PatriotsNFLGiantsResolved$800.7¢0.0¢-$80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsYesResolved$1161.1¢0.0¢-$116
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1333.3¢0.0¢-$133
Funding lapse without government shutdown? PoliticsYesResolved$523.1¢0.0¢-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12AM ETCryptoDownResolved$165.3¢0.0¢-$16
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110.2¢0.0¢-$11
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$523.5¢0.0¢-$52
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15810¢0.0¢-$158
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12AM ETCryptoDownResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2989.0¢0.0¢-$298
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$291.2¢0.0¢-$29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?CryptoNoResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$551.0¢0.0¢-$55
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?PoliticsNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5PM ETCryptoUpResolved$21328¢0.0¢-$213
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1140.9¢0.0¢-$114
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1341.0¢0.0¢-$134
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1215.0¢0.0¢-$121
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1042.5¢0.0¢-$104
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3733¢0.0¢-$37
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1748.8¢0.0¢-$174

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$3.1K
Tech-$1.3K
NBA-$1.1K
NFL-$916
Mentions-$727
Weather+$686
MLB-$593
Basketball (other)-$448
Culture-$352
College Hoops-$319
Other sports-$306
Politics+$156
Biggest hit
+$9.5K
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Toughest beat
-$845
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1016d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$216d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$216d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$241mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$281mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$281mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$281mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$261mo ago
  • Bought Thunder · Thunder vs. Spurs$321mo ago
  • Bought Thunder · Thunder vs. Spurs$11mo ago
  • Bought Thunder · Thunder vs. Spurs$31mo ago
  • Bought Thunder · Thunder vs. Spurs$171mo ago