MoonLambo1205

Predicting since Jan 2026139 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $21K on World Cup markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $45K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$12K on US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics	No	$38K	98¢	98¢	+$265
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$28K	96¢	97¢	+$303
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics	No	$18K	94¢	100¢	+$1.0K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$19K	94¢	89¢	-$1.1K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$17K	88¢	94¢	+$1.1K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$12K	61¢	45¢	-$3.2K
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$4.8K	88¢	91¢	+$122
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$980	49¢	0.0¢	-$980
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$4.5K	27¢	0.0¢	-$4.5K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$8.5K	67¢	0.0¢	-$8.5K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$10K	87¢	0.0¢	-$10K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$5.2K	56¢	0.0¢	-$5.2K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$4.9K	69¢	0.0¢	-$4.9K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$340	34¢	0.0¢	-$340
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1000	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$1000
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$308	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$308
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3.0K	48¢	0.0¢	-$3.0K
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2.2K	33¢	0.0¢	-$2.2K
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1.8K	94¢	0.0¢	-$1.8K
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1.2K	64¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$5.0K	84¢	0.0¢	-$5.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$4.9K	74¢	0.0¢	-$4.9K
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto	NoResolved	$549	27¢	0.0¢	-$549
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10K	72¢	0.0¢	-$10K
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$670	67¢	0.0¢	-$670
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2.1K	35¢	0.0¢	-$2.1K
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1.2K	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$92	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$92
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$3.1K	90¢	0.0¢	-$3.1K
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$10.0K	91¢	0.0¢	-$10.0K
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$608	19¢	0.0¢	-$608
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Finance	NoResolved	$6.1K	66¢	0.0¢	-$6.1K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1.0K	29¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Iran strike on US military by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$3.9K	81¢	0.0¢	-$3.9K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$21K

Politics+$18K

Economy-$6.1K

Finance-$4.3K

Tech-$2.0K

Crypto+$1.5K

Biggest hit

+$12K

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Toughest beat

-$5.0K

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Recent moves

Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$23K8d ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$3.8K8d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$1.5K8d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2.1K8d ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$35K8d ago
Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$2.1K8d ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$19K8d ago
Cashed out No · NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$30K8d ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$29K8d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.1K8d ago
Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$2.7K8d ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$7.4K8d ago