← Whale Watch

RisottoPasta

Predicting since Apr 20261,081 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $33K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $8.9K across 4 Finance markets.

Biggest hit: +$39K on Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.7K91¢99¢+$253
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1413.1¢24¢+$924
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$61183¢88¢+$33
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$62873¢66¢-$59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsMLBSt. Louis Cardinals$44144¢43¢-$15
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$34692¢96¢+$16
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLBNo$31893¢97¢+$13
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$37273¢63¢-$53
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$29559¢59¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$19990¢94¢+$9
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$18791¢97¢+$12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York Yankees$19560¢60¢-$1
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?CultureYes$17585¢87¢+$6
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoYes$28756¢34¢-$117
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10322¢34¢+$62
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$9523¢38¢+$65
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$14280¢83¢+$5
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$13542¢40¢-$8
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$11996¢99¢+$4
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?FinanceDown$16297¢73¢-$40
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?FinanceStripe$36973¢24¢-$247
Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Will Chandler Simpson hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$9393¢98¢+$5
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBANo$8787¢98¢+$11
Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?MLBNo$9191¢98¢+$7
Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$9393¢96¢+$3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$43532¢6.5¢-$347
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8592¢94¢+$2
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$18394¢42¢-$101
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionPoliticsYes$9545¢33¢-$27
Will Xavier Edwards hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$6194¢98¢+$2
California Clinic Funding PropositionPoliticsNo$5856¢60¢+$4
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$6287¢79¢-$6
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?TechYes$271.6¢3.0¢+$24
Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?MLBNo$6396¢60¢-$24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3536¢38¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3920¢17¢-$6
Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$3191¢93¢+$1
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$11.4¢30¢+$28
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsYes$3050¢41¢-$5
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?NBANo$1785¢100¢+$3
Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?MLBNo$1996¢100¢+$1
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1996¢97¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2917¢12¢-$9
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$144.0¢5.3¢+$5
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1203.1¢0.4¢-$103
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1445¢48¢+$1
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$1598¢98¢-$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?PoliticsNo$1494¢97¢+$0
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Basketball (other)Yes$02.0¢67¢+$14
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1631¢26¢-$3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1388¢91¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3616¢6.0¢-$22
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1277¢85¢+$1
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?CultureYes$3794¢27¢-$27
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$156.4¢4.3¢-$5
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?TechYes$161.9¢1.3¢-$6
Will Elly De La Cruz hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$1095¢100¢+$0
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$883¢99¢+$2
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢94¢+$1
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$986¢92¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$877¢83¢+$1
Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$11.4¢7.0¢+$6
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?PoliticsNo$782¢81¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$646¢52¢+$1
Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$991¢66¢-$2
California Rainy Day Fund PropositionPoliticsNo$1154¢30¢-$5
Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?eSportsNo$664¢55¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$591¢95¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$487¢96¢+$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$594¢96¢+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$594¢95¢+$0
Will T1 make a roster change before September?eSportsNo$590¢94¢+$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$593¢94¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$485¢92¢+$0
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?TechGoogle$590¢91¢+$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$593¢91¢-$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$483¢91¢+$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$369¢68¢-$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$359¢64¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$328¢31¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$350¢63¢+$1
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?FinanceNo$3926.5¢0.1¢-$389
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$236¢60¢+$1
Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$395¢89¢-$0
Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$05.0¢41¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1313¢1.7¢-$11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$350¢33¢-$1
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5MLBUnder$156¢57¢+$0
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)MLBSt. Louis Cardinals$127¢30¢+$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$192¢90¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$114¢12¢-$0
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?MLBYes$45.0¢1.6¢-$3
Will Nico Hoerner have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$63.2¢0.5¢-$5
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$189¢99¢+$0
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxMLBTampa Bay RaysResolved$23548¢0.0¢-$235
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$60150¢0.0¢-$601
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?World CupNoResolved$13561¢0.0¢-$135
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2126¢0.0¢-$21

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$33K
Finance-$9.2K
NBA+$6.3K
World Cup-$3.1K
eSports+$2.3K
MLB-$1.8K
Soccer (other)+$1.7K
La Liga-$1.3K
Tennis-$968
Cricket-$454
Weather+$453
Bundesliga+$394
Biggest hit
+$39K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Toughest beat
-$34K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$155h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$011h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$117h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$11d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$01d ago
  • Sold New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11d ago
  • Sold New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$31d ago
  • Sold New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$12d ago