 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $5.2K | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$4.8K |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5.2K | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 60¢ | 82¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $4.7K | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$273 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $3.6K | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$334 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$29 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.1K | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$226 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$20 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $2.5K | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$460 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$541 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$680 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $970 | 24¢ | 54¢ | +$1.2K |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $1.8K | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$45 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$304 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $2.5K | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$708 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$290 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $926 | 46¢ | 81¢ | +$684 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA | Yes | $388 | 24¢ | 98¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 72¢ | 77¢ | +$92 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $696 | 17¢ | 38¢ | +$822 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $1.1K | 57¢ | 72¢ | +$300 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $2.4K | 40¢ | 24¢ | -$970 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $855 | 14¢ | 23¢ | +$495 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $1.1K | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$90 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $398 | 25¢ | 72¢ | +$754 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $333 | 17¢ | 51¢ | +$677 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $1.2K | 39¢ | 31¢ | -$227 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | Yes | $908 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$20 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $759 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$140 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $640 | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$245 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $661 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$144 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $520 | 65¢ | 99¢ | +$271 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $770 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$40 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $140 | 14¢ | 71¢ | +$570 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 52¢ | 33¢ | -$390 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $584 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$20 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $690 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$105 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $520 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$60 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $605 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$33 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $370 | 37¢ | 56¢ | +$195 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $610 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$45 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $565 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$22 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Politics | No | $366 | 61¢ | 91¢ | +$175 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $552 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$16 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $330 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$201 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $660 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$130 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 25¢ | 13¢ | -$500 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $660 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$180 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $440 | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$10 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $504 | 63¢ | 51¢ | -$96 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $328 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$50 |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $190 | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$182 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 54¢ | 19¢ | -$702 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $302 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$63 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $430 | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$85 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $360 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$20 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $188 | 47¢ | 85¢ | +$150 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $170 | 31¢ | 60¢ | +$156 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $484 | 35¢ | 20¢ | -$211 |
 Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $126 | 21¢ | 43¢ | +$134 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $570 | 28¢ | 13¢ | -$320 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 21¢ | 81¢ | +$173 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $232 | 29¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $52 | 11¢ | 49¢ | +$179 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $256 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$28 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $420 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$195 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $208 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$12 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | Yes | $223 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$17 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $174 | 5.8¢ | 6.2¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $176 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $204 | 51¢ | 43¢ | -$32 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $320 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$151 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | Yes | $320 | 16¢ | 8.0¢ | -$160 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $520 | 26¢ | 7.5¢ | -$370 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $640 | 32¢ | 7.0¢ | -$500 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $166 | 8.3¢ | 7.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 14¢ | +$85 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | Yes | $150 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$20 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $340 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$210 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $121 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $152 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$32 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $150 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$40 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | No | $123 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$16 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $280 | 28¢ | 9.5¢ | -$185 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $140 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$50 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $270 | 2.7¢ | 0.8¢ | -$190 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $64 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $112 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$36 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $70 | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$3 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $366 | 39¢ | 7.5¢ | -$296 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $61 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$8 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 57¢ | 75¢ | +$14 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$3 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $44 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $400 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | -$358 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $120 | 12¢ | 4.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $185 | 23¢ | 3.6¢ | -$156 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 53¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2.1K |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 31¢ | 3.1¢ | -$167 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $11 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$6 |
Sold No · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$471h ago