 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5.4K | 54¢ | 85¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 59¢ | 75¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$1.6K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.6K | 40¢ | 86¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | No | $3.2K | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$125 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.2K | 60¢ | 46¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$601 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $2.1K | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$307 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $3.7K | 37¢ | 23¢ | -$1.5K |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.8K | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$713 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $1.2K | 39¢ | 65¢ | +$793 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $5.1K | 57¢ | 21¢ | -$3.3K |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$194 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $696 | 17¢ | 35¢ | +$696 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $1.2K | 60¢ | 67¢ | +$130 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $1.1K | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$40 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $652 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$321 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $140 | 14¢ | 97¢ | +$828 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.0K | 51¢ | 48¢ | -$60 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$585 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $580 | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$230 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $926 | 46¢ | 39¢ | -$146 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $284 | 33¢ | 91¢ | +$494 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $249 | 25¢ | 76¢ | +$511 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $584 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$144 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $920 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$220 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $120 | 12¢ | 60¢ | +$475 |
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Politics | No | $536 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$12 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $318 | 53¢ | 81¢ | +$165 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $610 | 61¢ | 47¢ | -$145 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $237 | 31¢ | 61¢ | +$225 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $52 | 11¢ | 87¢ | +$356 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 52¢ | 14¢ | -$750 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $484 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$197 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 21¢ | 92¢ | +$203 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 25¢ | 6.5¢ | -$740 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $660 | 33¢ | 13¢ | -$410 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $504 | 63¢ | 29¢ | -$272 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $660 | 22¢ | 7.4¢ | -$437 |
 James Comey charges dropped by December 31?Politics | No | $164 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$24 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $591 | 30¢ | 8.5¢ | -$421 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 54¢ | 8.0¢ | -$913 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $592 | 30¢ | 7.5¢ | -$441 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $166 | 8.3¢ | 7.2¢ | -$21 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $800 | 8.0¢ | 1.5¢ | -$655 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $121 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | No | $123 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | Yes | $235 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$103 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $132 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 11¢ | +$55 |
 Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?Politics | No | $160 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$55 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $124 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$28 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics | Yes | $120 | 12¢ | 9.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $300 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | -$210 |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $100 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$25 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $112 | 11¢ | 7.1¢ | -$40 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $366 | 39¢ | 7.5¢ | -$296 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $232 | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | -$164 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $140 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$75 |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $126 | 21¢ | 9.8¢ | -$67 |
 Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $140 | 14¢ | 5.9¢ | -$81 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $44 | 39¢ | 51¢ | +$13 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics | Yes | $170 | 17¢ | 4.4¢ | -$126 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$11 |
 Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Politics | No | $26 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$4 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $48 | 6.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$28 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 55¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $434 | 22¢ | 0.1¢ | -$432 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $360 | 36¢ | 0.1¢ | -$359 |
 Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $133 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $175 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $279 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$279 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $600 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $220 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.3K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.3K |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Politics | YesResolved | $333 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$333 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $640 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$640 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $512 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$512 |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | NoResolved | $591 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$591 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $184 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $165 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$165 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $323 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$323 |
 Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Culture | YesResolved | $574 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$574 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $751 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$751 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $86 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $548 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$548 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.2K |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $403 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$403 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $426 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$426 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.1K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $221 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.3K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Politics | NoResolved | $2.0K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $520 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
 Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Culture | YesResolved | $894 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$894 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $702 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$702 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.9K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
 Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $136 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |