ayrtonromania

Predicting since May 202568 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US recession in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$93	31¢	0.0¢	-$93
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$70	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$70
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Politics	NoResolved	$10	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$100	15¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$50	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$392	17¢	0.0¢	-$392
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$85	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$85
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?Politics	YesResolved	$50	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$57	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$57
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Economy	YesResolved	$26	13¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Politics	YesResolved	$25	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$67	7.4¢	0.0¢	-$67
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$50	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$50
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Weather	YesResolved	$110	51¢	0.0¢	-$110
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$50	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$50	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$50

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$770

Economy-$294

Weather-$210

Mentions-$133

Crypto-$65

Culture-$55

Tech-$50

Champions League-$15

Biggest hit

+$953

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Toughest beat

-$259

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Bought Yes · Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$1009mo ago
Sold Yes · Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$159mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$859mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$509mo ago
Bought Yes · Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$1259mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$509mo ago
Sold Yes · Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$1359mo ago
Bought No · Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$109mo ago
Bought No · Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$509mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$149mo ago
Bought Yes · Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$579mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$569mo ago