Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $271 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$48 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $301 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $278 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $262 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Politics | Yes | $124 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $112 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$12 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $76 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$18 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | Yes | $121 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$30 |
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $80 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $53 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$26 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $53 | 53¢ | 68¢ | +$15 |
| Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $56 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$9 |
| Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $64 | 73¢ | 66¢ | -$6 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
| Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $46 | 66¢ | 61¢ | -$4 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Politics | Yes | $36 | 7.8¢ | 9.0¢ | +$6 |
| Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $51 | 71¢ | 54¢ | -$13 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $44 | 2.2¢ | 1.6¢ | -$12 |
| Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $45 | 60¢ | 42¢ | -$13 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $79 | 78¢ | 22¢ | -$57 |
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $34 | 78¢ | 47¢ | -$14 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $19 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$6 |
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.7¢ | 43¢ | +$18 |
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $17 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $20 | 7.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $28 | 78¢ | 46¢ | -$12 |
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $12 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | Yes | $12 | 3.3¢ | 3.3¢ | -$0 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $13 | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | -$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.3¢ | 8.0¢ | +$1 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.2¢ | 6.2¢ | +$5 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.6¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ | 1.9¢ | -$10 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.6¢ | 3.8¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $3 | 3.3¢ | 1.5¢ | -$2 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $30 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $16 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?Finance | YesResolved | $12 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | United StatesResolved | $11 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Weather | NoResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Joe Kent charged by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $31 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |