← Whale Watch

johnnath1222

Predicting since Nov 20231,025 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.4K on Politics markets since Nov 2023.

Right now: $862 across 5 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$27167¢79¢+$48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$30113¢14¢+$6
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$27814¢14¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$26212¢12¢-$0
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$12470¢73¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$11272¢80¢+$12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsYes$7617¢22¢+$18
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$1216.0¢4.5¢-$30
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7551¢56¢+$7
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$8083¢82¢-$1
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8012¢12¢-$1
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$5365¢97¢+$26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5353¢68¢+$15
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$5664¢74¢+$9
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$6473¢66¢-$6
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5177¢87¢+$6
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$4666¢61¢-$4
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?PoliticsYes$367.8¢9.0¢+$6
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$5171¢54¢-$13
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$442.2¢1.6¢-$12
Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$4560¢42¢-$13
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$7978¢22¢-$57
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?PoliticsYes$2712¢9.5¢-$6
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$3478¢47¢-$14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1964¢67¢+$1
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?PoliticsYes$1684¢99¢+$3
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$1315¢22¢+$6
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$11.7¢43¢+$18
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1786¢91¢+$1
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1783¢90¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1795¢99¢+$1
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$207.0¢6.0¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?PoliticsNo$1690¢95¢+$1
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsYes$2878¢46¢-$12
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1387¢99¢+$2
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsYes$1262¢66¢+$1
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$123.3¢3.3¢-$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$131.7¢1.7¢-$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?PoliticsYes$117.3¢8.0¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1080¢95¢+$2
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?PoliticsYes$1083¢99¢+$2
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$53.2¢6.2¢+$5
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$1096¢94¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$993¢94¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$884¢94¢+$1
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsNo$919¢20¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$880¢87¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$882¢87¢+$0
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$57.6¢11¢+$2
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsNo$790¢88¢-$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$476¢96¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$410¢14¢+$1
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$488¢95¢+$0
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$419¢20¢+$0
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?PoliticsYes$147.0¢1.9¢-$10
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsYes$33.6¢3.8¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?PoliticsYes$212¢14¢+$1
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$33.3¢1.5¢-$2
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsYes$32.4¢1.1¢-$1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?FinanceYesResolved$308.6¢0.0¢-$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?FinanceYesResolved$1620¢0.0¢-$16
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$50.9¢0.0¢-$5
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1750¢0.0¢-$17
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$65.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?FinanceYesResolved$127.8¢0.0¢-$12
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?FinanceYesResolved$74.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3417¢0.0¢-$34
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$428.5¢0.0¢-$42
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$76.9¢0.0¢-$7
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$115.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$412.0¢0.0¢-$41
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$303.0¢0.0¢-$30
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?FinanceYesResolved$1119¢0.0¢-$11
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1817¢0.0¢-$18
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?PoliticsYesResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?PoliticsYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$147.0¢0.0¢-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$42.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4422¢0.0¢-$44
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Joe Kent charged by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$31.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?PoliticsNoResolved$23.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3122¢0.0¢-$31

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$5.4K
Crypto-$698
Mentions-$447
Other-$150
World Cup-$82
Culture-$49
Finance-$40
Tech+$39
Other sports-$29
MLB-$18
Weather-$14
Economy+$10
Biggest hit
+$820
Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$11m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$1201h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?$2319h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?$41d ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$331d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?$01d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?$711d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$631d ago