← Whale Watch

Gr33d

Predicting since Jun 20254,309 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.1K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $2.0K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.0K79¢81¢+$38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.3K100¢100¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$67794¢93¢-$11
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$61394¢94¢-$3
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$49799¢99¢+$0
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$49599¢99¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$44093¢94¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$43684¢83¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$40492¢93¢+$2
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$38799¢100¢+$2
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$35799¢100¢+$2
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$292100¢100¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$287100¢99¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$28298¢98¢-$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$24691¢92¢+$1
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$23199¢99¢+$0
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$215100¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$19697¢99¢+$4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$18898¢98¢+$0
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$165100¢100¢+$0
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$165100¢100¢+$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$14480¢81¢+$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$144100¢100¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$138100¢100¢-$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechNo$13799¢99¢-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$13487¢88¢+$2
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?FinanceNo$13598¢98¢+$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$13598¢97¢-$2
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$13399¢99¢+$0
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$12598¢97¢-$1
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$12195¢94¢-$2
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$116100¢100¢+$1
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$10799¢100¢+$0
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$9992¢100¢+$8
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$10688¢87¢-$1
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$8798¢98¢+$0
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$83100¢100¢+$0
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$82100¢100¢+$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$8197¢97¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$79100¢100¢+$0
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$7599¢99¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$7294¢94¢-$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueNo$6290¢91¢+$0
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$55100¢100¢+$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$5490¢91¢+$0
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$54100¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3892¢93¢+$0
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$3697¢99¢+$1
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$3389¢94¢+$2
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$3499¢99¢+$0
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?PoliticsNo$3093¢93¢+$0
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$19100¢100¢+$0
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$1798¢99¢+$0
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?EconomyNo$1684¢77¢-$1
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$1190¢92¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢97¢+$0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$396¢97¢+$0
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$398¢99¢+$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$197¢98¢+$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$7085¢0.0¢-$70
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBANoResolved$2665¢0.0¢-$26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKhamzat ChimaevResolved$94275¢0.0¢-$942
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?TechNoResolved$8190¢0.0¢-$81
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$33350¢0.0¢-$333
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$11124¢0.0¢-$111
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 29?WeatherYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?PoliticsNoResolved$8080¢0.0¢-$80
Will Solana dip to $40 in June?CryptoYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$121.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?PoliticsYesResolved$68.1¢0.0¢-$6
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$5.1K
Crypto-$2.5K
UFC / MMA-$935
Tennis+$779
Soccer (other)+$542
Culture+$349
Other+$338
Tech+$255
Economy-$240
NFL-$220
eSports+$197
Finance-$176
Biggest hit
+$1.0K
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Toughest beat
-$850
Will Bitcoin reach $120K before July 14?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$40432s ago
  • Sold No · Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$32m ago
  • Sold No · Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$82m ago
  • Bought No · Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4957m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$610m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5721m ago
  • Bought No · Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$5425m ago
  • Sold No · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$725m ago
  • Sold No · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2025m ago
  • Sold No · Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$826m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$627m ago
  • Sold No · Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2831m ago