← Whale Watch

Cassiopeian

Predicting since Jul 2025160 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $38K on eSports markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $20K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$29K on Will the US strike Somalia next?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.4K1.9¢1.7¢-$169
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$55011¢14¢+$137
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2281.4¢1.5¢+$1
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$24390¢65¢-$69
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$46.0¢41¢+$22
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$555.5¢1.1¢-$43
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$95.5¢6.2¢+$1
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$315.5¢1.2¢-$24
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$75.9¢1.8¢-$5
Will the US strike 1 country in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$555.5¢0.0¢-$55
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4289.4¢0.0¢-$428
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$69.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the US strike 0 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$555.5¢0.0¢-$55
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnereSportsTop EsportsResolved$1991.7¢0.0¢-$199
Will the US strike Colombia next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
Will the US strike Nigeria next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?PoliticsYesResolved$9792.7¢0.0¢-$979
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$13528¢0.0¢-$135
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K9.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$472.7¢0.0¢-$47
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$1.5K25¢0.0¢-$1.5K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12K80¢0.0¢-$12K
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K44¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K41¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will António José Seguro win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$911¢0.0¢-$9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnereSportsCTBC Flying OysterResolved$3.3K55¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will the US strike Iraq next?PoliticsYesResolved$1179.1¢0.0¢-$117
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$555.5¢0.0¢-$55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1260¢0.0¢-$12
Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$776.3¢0.0¢-$77
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7515¢0.0¢-$75
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)eSportsGen.GResolved$7.4K3.7¢0.0¢-$7.4K
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5315.9¢0.0¢-$531
Will Kla Tham Party (KT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$56110¢0.0¢-$561
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.9K71¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will the US strike 2 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$555.5¢0.0¢-$55
Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$645.7¢0.0¢-$64
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$3203.2¢0.0¢-$320
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$312.7¢0.0¢-$31
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$32645¢0.0¢-$326
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?PoliticsNoResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnereSportsCTBC Flying OysterResolved$4.2K18¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Will the US strike Cuba next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnereSportsG2 EsportsResolved$4.7K22¢0.0¢-$4.7K
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?PoliticsYesResolved$99014¢0.0¢-$990
Will the US strike Colombia next?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K9.0¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$9317.4¢0.0¢-$931
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.3K78¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will the US strike Mexico next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$1.3K16¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$45911¢0.0¢-$459
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$472.7¢0.0¢-$47
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsYesResolved$79533¢0.0¢-$795
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3.0K14¢0.0¢-$3.0K
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K18¢0.0¢-$1.0K
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2414.5¢0.0¢-$241
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnereSportsCTBC Flying OysterResolved$14116¢0.0¢-$141
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K74¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Israel or the US target Natanz Uranium Enrichment Facility?PoliticsNoResolved$2113¢0.0¢-$21
Will the US strike Cuba nexPoliticsYesResolved$2.0K9.0¢0.0¢-$2.0K
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)eSportsTop EsportsResolved$275.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$175.8¢0.0¢-$17
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$472.7¢0.0¢-$47
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$45911¢0.0¢-$459
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$37820¢0.0¢-$378
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnereSportsVivo Keyd StarsResolved$1403.5¢0.0¢-$140
Will the US strike Venezuela next?PoliticsYesResolved$7619.0¢0.0¢-$761
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$56619¢0.0¢-$566
Will the US strike Yemen next?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K9.0¢0.0¢-$2.9K
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$33861¢0.0¢-$338
Will António José Seguro win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$128.6¢0.0¢-$12
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsNoResolved$3.9K17¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$37139¢0.0¢-$371
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K9.0¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1105.7¢0.0¢-$110
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$48713¢0.0¢-$487
Will Iran strike one country in March?PoliticsYesResolved$19311¢0.0¢-$193
Will the US strike Mexico next?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K9.0¢0.0¢-$2.9K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)eSportsCTBC Flying OysterResolved$5.2K20¢0.0¢-$5.2K
Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?PoliticsNoResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$819¢0.0¢-$8
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.7K16¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Iran strike three countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$45911¢0.0¢-$459
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnereSportsFlyQuestResolved$5.5K47¢0.0¢-$5.5K
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)eSportsFlyQuestResolved$7908.8¢0.0¢-$790
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.9K38¢0.0¢-$2.9K
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsNoResolved$8.6K38¢0.0¢-$8.6K
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3652¢0.0¢-$36
Will Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$472.7¢0.0¢-$47
Will Iran strike five countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$45911¢0.0¢-$459
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$55618¢0.0¢-$556
Will the US strike Yemen next?PoliticsYesResolved$2889.1¢0.0¢-$288
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)eSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$2.5K4.4¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Iran strike six countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$45911¢0.0¢-$459
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$321.3¢0.0¢-$32
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win the first round?PoliticsYesResolved$34.4¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

eSports-$38K
Politics-$18K
Culture-$50
Tech+$3
Biggest hit
+$29K
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Toughest beat
-$5.0K
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$245d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$58d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$09d ago