Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $644 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$5 |
Will Taylor Swift appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Culture | No | $617 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $246 | 55¢ | 69¢ | +$62 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $44B?Finance | Yes | $117 | 33¢ | 84¢ | +$181 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $244 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$34 |
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $271 | 55¢ | 50¢ | -$28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $184 | 46¢ | 55¢ | +$34 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Mentions | Yes | $177 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$10 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | No | $187 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$5 |
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $199 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$18 |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q2 gross booking value be above $27.6B?Finance | No | $146 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$30 |
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $122 | 39¢ | 53¢ | +$45 |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?Finance | No | $135 | 67¢ | 79¢ | +$23 |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6.75B?Finance | Yes | $117 | 43¢ | 50¢ | +$18 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $203 | 68¢ | 43¢ | -$75 |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $108 | 47¢ | 53¢ | +$14 |
| Will anyone say "Existential" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Mentions | No | $96 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $83 | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$30 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Rams end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $97 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$15 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $81 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $123 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$17 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $126 | 33¢ | 27¢ | -$24 |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6.75B?Finance | No | $81 | 40¢ | 50¢ | +$20 |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M?Finance | No | $95 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture | Yes | $70 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$21 |
| Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $83 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$8 |
| Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.4B?Finance | Yes | $88 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | Yes | $105 | 84¢ | 69¢ | -$18 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?Economy | No | $45 | 28¢ | 54¢ | +$41 |
Will Ian Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $68 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
Will Tom Holland appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Culture | Yes | $80 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$15 |
| Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.5M?Finance | No | $84 | 84¢ | 78¢ | -$6 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?Economy | No | $58 | 58¢ | 76¢ | +$17 |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Politics | No | $69 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $88 | 44¢ | 34¢ | -$21 |
| Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.3B?Finance | Yes | $65 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?Finance | Yes | $64 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will DC Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?Culture | Yes | $39 | 58¢ | 90¢ | +$22 |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q4 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?Finance | No | $55 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
| Will "Obsolete" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?Mentions | No | $50 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 5%-7%?Finance | Yes | $61 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$4 |
Will Florence Pugh appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?Culture | Yes | $19 | 16¢ | 49¢ | +$38 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $50B?Finance | Yes | $63 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$6 |
| Will the season series between the Texans and Titans end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $60 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?Economy | No | $48 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $83 | 83¢ | 53¢ | -$30 |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q4 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 210?Finance | Yes | $57 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $69 | 46¢ | 36¢ | -$16 |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6.5B?Finance | No | $50 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 52¢ | -$33 |
| Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?Mentions | Yes | $65 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$14 |
| Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?Soccer (other) | No | $27 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Soccer (other) | No | $50 | 54¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
| Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?Finance | No | $64 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$16 |
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by July 31?Crypto | No | $45 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Texans win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $50 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
| Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $47 | 62¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 43¢ | +$12 |
| Will Elon post "Claude" on X this week?Mentions | No | $42 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $44 | 68¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
| Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $40 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $44 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$3 |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 250?Finance | No | $41 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $50 | 51¢ | 41¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $18 | 28¢ | 61¢ | +$22 |
| Will anyone say "Drama" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Mentions | No | $38 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $39 | 8.3¢ | 8.3¢ | -$0 |
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $23 | 38¢ | 64¢ | +$16 |
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | Yes | $34 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Tech | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 66¢ | +$29 |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 225M?Finance | Yes | $34 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
| Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?World Cup | No | $52 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$16 |
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $34 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 66¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
| Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $47 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $46 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
| Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <13%?Finance | Yes | $62 | 31¢ | 17¢ | -$28 |
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 44¢ | 81¢ | +$15 |
| Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | Yes | $66 | 54¢ | 27¢ | -$34 |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q2 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $152?Finance | Yes | $28 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
| Will the season series between the Broncos and Chiefs end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $32 | 48¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
| Will the season series between the Raiders and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $31 | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $81 | 30¢ | 12¢ | -$50 |
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $30 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q2 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $154?Finance | Yes | $23 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
| Will anyone say "God" 3+ times during Rick and Morty E10 S9?Mentions | Yes | $20 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $42 | 42¢ | 28¢ | -$14 |
| Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $20 | 57¢ | 78¢ | +$8 |
| Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Mentions | No | $28 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $33 | 76¢ | 60¢ | -$7 |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $7B?Finance | No | $23 | 58¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 245?Finance | No | $39 | 79¢ | 52¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Commanders win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $53 | 41¢ | 20¢ | -$27 |
| Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $26 | 52¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
| Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $117 | 42¢ | 9.0¢ | -$91 |
| Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 19%-22%?Finance | No | $25 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $28 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |