 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 7.2¢ | 5.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 6.8¢ | +$1 |
 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 6.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 5.9¢ | -$1 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Finance | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?Finance | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 5.4¢ | +$2 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.5¢ | 4.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 9.0¢ | 5.9¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 6.0¢ | 4.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 4.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 4.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $4 | 4.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$0 |
 Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 3.9¢ | +$3 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.7¢ | 3.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?Finance | Yes | $4 | 4.1¢ | 3.6¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.9¢ | 3.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 4.6¢ | 3.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 6.5¢ | 3.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 2.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.3¢ | 2.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 2.8¢ | -$2 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 2.2¢ | 4.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.5¢ | 8.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 1.9¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 2.6¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?Finance | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 2.7¢ | -$4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 4.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$3 |
 Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 1.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 1.4¢ | 1.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 4.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 8.0¢ | 2.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | 1.2¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.5¢ | 1.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 6.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.8¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 2.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 2.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 7.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 1.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will 58 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will XRP reach $1.50 April 27-May 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?Crypto | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta reach $730 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Morgan Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 MegaETH FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 14?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of April?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on May 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lincoln Restler be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?Crypto | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Xi Jinping out before 2027?$718d ago