← Whale Watch
Vanquish
Down $32K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.
Right now: $16K riding on Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?.
Biggest hit: +$3.2K on Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?Finance | No | $10K | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$394 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16K | 88¢ | 22¢ | -$12K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3.0K | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$6 |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $812 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $754 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $548 | 97¢ | 92¢ | -$30 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Tech | Yes | $485 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Politics | No | $20 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$32K
Tech+$13K
Finance+$2.6K
Crypto+$1.1K
World Cup+$610
Economy+$426
Other sports+$246
Other+$245
Culture+$95
Weather-$73
Biggest hit
+$3.2K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$19K
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Recent moves
- Bought No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$331h ago
- Bought No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$1881h ago
- Bought No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$1946h ago
- Bought No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$499h ago
- Bought No · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$479h ago
- Bought No · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$1513h ago
- Bought No · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$3713h ago
- Bought No · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$3013h ago
- Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$3.0K14h ago
- Bought No · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$14614h ago
- Bought No · Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?$6914h ago
- Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$54814h ago