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VorpalQuark

Predicting since Aug 20241,126 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $48K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $12K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$24K on Will there be a US Government shutdown? .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$5.0K50¢100¢+$5.0K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$1.9K20¢14¢-$593
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K93¢96¢+$32
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$92286¢98¢+$129
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$39579¢87¢+$42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$35659¢56¢-$17
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$23023¢22¢-$10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$19830¢34¢+$21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$18337¢44¢+$35
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$16683¢87¢+$8
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10730¢33¢+$9
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$10191¢97¢+$7
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsNo$9187¢99¢+$13
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6962¢94¢+$35
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7474¢95¢+$21
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5320¢22¢+$5
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5.0K50¢0.3¢-$5.0K
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1140¢43¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1049¢57¢+$2
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1055¢56¢+$0
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)College HoopsPrairie View A&M PanthersResolved$1.0K51¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Seahawks vs. 49ersNFL49ersResolved$1.0K46¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$100027¢0.0¢-$1000
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)College HoopsNorthern Iowa PanthersResolved$100051¢0.0¢-$1000
Fresno State vs. San Jose StateOther sportsSan Jose StateResolved$45035¢0.0¢-$450
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay RaysMLBTampa Bay RaysResolved$100051¢0.0¢-$1000
Will JD Vance say "Trump" during meetings with Orbán?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5NFLOverResolved$1.0K53¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsMLBMiami MarlinsResolved$1.1K40¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?PoliticsYesResolved$7.2K63¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Spread: Lions (-7.5)NFLCommandersResolved$1.0K50¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)NFLBrownsResolved$1.0K54¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$100019¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$17722¢0.0¢-$177
UNLV vs. Colorado State: O/U 62.5Other sportsOverResolved$95848¢0.0¢-$958
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)NFLJetsResolved$50050¢0.0¢-$500
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$77730¢0.0¢-$777
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?MLSYesResolved$1.0K24¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$6716¢0.0¢-$67
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)College HoopsMichigan WolverinesResolved$1.0K51¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$47047¢0.0¢-$470
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)College HoopsMiami (OH) RedHawksResolved$1.0K46¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1.0K21¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$25025¢0.0¢-$250
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$12325¢0.0¢-$123
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5NFLOverResolved$1.0K47¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$30012¢0.0¢-$300
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$31378¢0.0¢-$313
Spread: UCF (-13.5)Other sportsUCFResolved$50050¢0.0¢-$500
Giants vs. Lions: O/U 50.5NFLUnderResolved$1.0K49¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?Premier LeagueYesResolved$50021¢0.0¢-$500
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?PoliticsNoResolved$23393¢0.0¢-$233
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsMLBPittsburgh PiratesResolved$100045¢0.0¢-$1000
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)NFLDolphinsResolved$1.0K50¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)NFLGiantsResolved$28947¢0.0¢-$289
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-24?BundesligaNoResolved$39039¢0.0¢-$390
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Champions LeagueGalatasaray SKResolved$100045¢0.0¢-$1000
Spread: Memphis (-13.5)Other sportsRiceResolved$1.0K49¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?Soccer (other)NoResolved$87043¢0.0¢-$870
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-22?Soccer (other)YesResolved$19019¢0.0¢-$190
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5College HoopsOverResolved$50049¢0.0¢-$500
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?PoliticsNoResolved$33321¢0.0¢-$333
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?MentionsNoResolved$3971¢0.0¢-$39
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3637.9¢0.0¢-$363
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$5846¢0.0¢-$58
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?Soccer (other)NoResolved$50028¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)Other sportsSyracuseResolved$25050¢0.0¢-$250
Air Force vs. Colorado State: O/U 45.5Other sportsUnderResolved$23547¢0.0¢-$235
Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$100026¢0.0¢-$1000
Will US Cremonese vs. AS Roma end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$21922¢0.0¢-$219
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-25?MLSYesResolved$89.0¢0.0¢-$8
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5NFLUnderResolved$50042¢0.0¢-$500
Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$1.0K27¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Paris FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$97826¢0.0¢-$978
Spread: Kennesaw State (-2.5)Other sportsJacksonville StateResolved$100048¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$1.6K57¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$50010.0¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: Tulane (-9.5)Other sportsTempleResolved$1.7K50¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$5411¢0.0¢-$54
49ers vs. BrownsNFLBrownsResolved$50030¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: North Texas (-20.5)Other sportsTempleResolved$50051¢0.0¢-$500
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$50038¢0.0¢-$500
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Champions LeagueNewcastle United FCResolved$52061¢0.0¢-$520
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5NFLOverResolved$48048¢0.0¢-$480
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)College HoopsNorth Carolina State WolfpackResolved$19749¢0.0¢-$197
Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)Other sportsColoradoResolved$98549¢0.0¢-$985
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)MLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$19934¢0.0¢-$199
Will New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?MLSYesResolved$100028¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-02?MLSNoResolved$39448¢0.0¢-$394
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)MLBLos Angeles AngelsResolved$55758¢0.0¢-$557
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?MentionsNoResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$10727¢0.0¢-$107
Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5NFLUnderResolved$1.0K50¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1.0K23¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5College HoopsOverResolved$100052¢0.0¢-$1000
Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)Other sportsSan Jose StateResolved$72049¢0.0¢-$720
Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsMLBAthleticsResolved$100045¢0.0¢-$1000
Spread: Clemson (-3.5)Other sportsClemsonResolved$48548¢0.0¢-$485
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)NFLBrownsResolved$50054¢0.0¢-$500

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$48K
NFL-$24K
Other sports-$11K
Premier League+$10K
MLB+$6.9K
Soccer (other)-$6.6K
MLS-$6.4K
Other+$5.5K
La Liga+$5.1K
World Cup-$5.0K
Champions League+$4.3K
NBA+$4.2K
Biggest hit
+$24K
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Toughest beat
-$8.6K
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1023h ago
  • Cashed out Kansas City Royals · San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals$2.1K8d ago
  • Cashed out Under · Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$1.8K8d ago
  • Bought Kansas City Royals · San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals$1.0K8d ago
  • Bought Under · Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$6948d ago
  • Bought Under · Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$298d ago
  • Bought Under · Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$2638d ago
  • Bought Athletics · Washington Nationals vs. Athletics$10008d ago
  • Bought Under · Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5$148d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$08d ago