 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2.4K | 59¢ | 80¢ | +$822 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.0K | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$317 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$326 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $775 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$51 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $771 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$28 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $591 | 59¢ | 70¢ | +$104 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $387 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$24 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $277 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$119 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Politics | No | $322 | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $290 | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$15 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $224 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$17 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $138 | 4.8¢ | 7.3¢ | +$73 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $695 | 76¢ | 20¢ | -$513 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $84 | 21¢ | 44¢ | +$90 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $75 | 35¢ | 63¢ | +$61 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $189 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$55 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $73 | 35¢ | 65¢ | +$60 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 6.7¢ | 28¢ | +$91 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $79 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$8 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 6.1¢ | 23¢ | +$57 |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 38¢ | +$57 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 34¢ | +$51 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 34¢ | 43¢ | +$11 |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $55 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$13 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 29¢ | 49¢ | +$16 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $20 | 22¢ | 35¢ | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 2.5¢ | 5.5¢ | +$14 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 3.3¢ | 4.2¢ | +$5 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $9 | 3.6¢ | 5.9¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $10 | 3.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 6.5¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $7 | 9.1¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 6.5¢ | 2.8¢ | -$13 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $6 | 5.6¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 19¢ | 4.6¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $5 | 3.3¢ | 4.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $8 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $4 | 7.9¢ | 8.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 2.5¢ | 0.8¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$0 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | Yes | $2 | 3.7¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 1.7¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 1.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 2.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$3 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 2.1¢ | 1.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 8.5¢ | 3.2¢ | -$2 |
 Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 2.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$3 |
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?$5001h ago