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CountStochasticThePrescient

Predicting since Feb 2025294 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $2.3K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1267.0¢0.0¢-$126
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?FinanceNoResolved$6472¢0.0¢-$64
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K41¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K70¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12261¢0.0¢-$122
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$38438¢0.0¢-$384
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$55.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6313¢0.0¢-$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$83020¢0.0¢-$830
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28135¢0.0¢-$281
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$50229¢0.0¢-$502
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$60.6¢0.0¢-$6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$44574¢0.0¢-$445
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$25221¢0.0¢-$252
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4221¢0.0¢-$42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15236¢0.0¢-$152
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7035¢0.0¢-$70
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$17889¢0.0¢-$178
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1504.8¢0.0¢-$150
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$28040¢0.0¢-$280
Will any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?TechYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$2715¢0.0¢-$27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$20544¢0.0¢-$205

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.2K
Finance+$619
eSports-$182
Olympics+$98
NFL+$48
Hockey (other)-$30
Tech-$27
Boxing-$5
Crypto-$1
Culture-$1
Mentions-$0
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.2K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$124d ago
  • Sold No · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$124d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$124d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$224d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$324d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$624d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?$624d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?$1224d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$2224d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3424d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3524d ago
  • Sold Nothing · Nothing Ever Happens: June$10024d ago