← Whale Watch

welcometohell

Predicting since Sep 20255,976 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.4K on Finance markets since Sep 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$109.1¢13¢+$4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$102.1¢2.4¢+$1
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$513¢24¢+$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$329¢80¢+$5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$176.3¢2.9¢-$9
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$108.5¢5.5¢-$4
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$1030¢12¢-$6
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$54.0¢2.5¢-$2
Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$108.0¢2.5¢-$7
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?PoliticsYes$23.4¢4.8¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1018¢5.5¢-$7
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?PoliticsYes$59.0¢5.5¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1785¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1666¢0.0¢-$16
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$148 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?FinanceYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$482¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1786¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$877¢0.0¢-$8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$1026¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$988¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$771¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 16 above $230?FinanceNoResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1458¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 23?FinanceDownResolved$7175¢0.0¢-$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$877¢0.0¢-$8
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 11?FinanceUpResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1887¢0.0¢-$18
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 11?CryptoNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?FinanceYesResolved$15.6¢0.0¢-$1
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 13?FinanceUpResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 10?FinanceYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$367¢0.0¢-$3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?FinanceUpResolved$824¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$774¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 11?FinanceDownResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?FinanceYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?FinanceNoResolved$21384¢0.0¢-$213
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$771¢0.0¢-$7
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?FinanceYesResolved$4025¢0.0¢-$40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$771¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$774¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$479¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$772¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$880¢0.0¢-$8
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $146-$148 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?FinanceYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1665¢0.0¢-$16
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?FinanceYesResolved$1921¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$477¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$986¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1471¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$736¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$839¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$882¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1665¢0.0¢-$16
Ethereum Up or Down on March 11?CryptoUpResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 19?FinanceYesResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$937¢0.0¢-$9
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on March 11?FinanceYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 12?FinanceYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$878¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$665¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 11?FinanceNoResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 9?FinanceYesResolved$430¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$979¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$773¢0.0¢-$7
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 10?FinanceNoResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$486¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$977¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$477¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$333¢0.0¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?FinanceYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?FinanceNoResolved$2190¢0.0¢-$21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 10?FinanceNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 11?FinanceNoResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google reach $320 in March?FinanceYesResolved$27652¢0.0¢-$276
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ETCryptoDownResolved$882¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1575¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$977¢0.0¢-$9
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 13?FinanceUpResolved$913.0¢0.0¢-$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 11?FinanceNoResolved$53.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $158?FinanceYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1769¢0.0¢-$17
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 10?FinanceDownResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$478¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$1.4K
Crypto-$1.1K
Other sports-$298
Mentions-$78
Culture-$69
Politics-$50
Premier League+$34
Bundesliga+$23
UFC / MMA+$22
Other-$14
Champions League+$12
NFL-$12
Biggest hit
+$49
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$150
O/U 63.5