← Whale Watch

83nj4m1nn

Predicting since Jan 2026119 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $868 across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$27819¢4.8¢-$207
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$13845¢21¢-$75
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$13117¢3.5¢-$104
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$192.4¢0.0¢-$19
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$240.7¢0.0¢-$24
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$30.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$60.4¢0.0¢-$6
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$663.1¢0.0¢-$66
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$3081.8¢0.0¢-$308
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1275.6¢0.0¢-$127
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$92.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?PoliticsYesResolved$4241¢0.0¢-$42
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$91.7¢0.0¢-$9
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$72.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$113.1¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$4349¢0.0¢-$43
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$231.9¢0.0¢-$23
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$27127¢0.0¢-$271
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$67.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$2541.5¢0.0¢-$254
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$342.3¢0.0¢-$34
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2186.4¢0.0¢-$218
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$230.3¢0.0¢-$23
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$540.2¢0.0¢-$54
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$3110¢0.0¢-$31
Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1283.0¢0.0¢-$128
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?PoliticsYesResolved$261.4¢0.0¢-$26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$233.3¢0.0¢-$23
Will One Battle After Another win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$542.0¢0.0¢-$54
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$164.9¢0.0¢-$16
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$1781.3¢0.0¢-$178
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$10218¢0.0¢-$102
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2698.8¢0.0¢-$269
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$341.5¢0.0¢-$34
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$309.8¢0.0¢-$30
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$100.4¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?PoliticsYesResolved$4114¢0.0¢-$41
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBLos Angeles AngelsResolved$615¢0.0¢-$6
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$90.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$183.1¢0.0¢-$18
Will Iran strike Syria in March?PoliticsYesResolved$6622¢0.0¢-$66
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$8212¢0.0¢-$82

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.1K
Culture-$192
MLB-$6
Biggest hit
+$297
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$341
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$92mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$202mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$103mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$23mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$13mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$13mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$93mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$103mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$143mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$153mo ago