Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 37¢ | 92¢ | +$88 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?Tech | Yes | $74 | 40¢ | 68¢ | +$52 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 48¢ | 96¢ | +$60 |
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?Politics | No | $99 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $76 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 39¢ | 86¢ | +$45 |
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | Yes | $75 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$5 |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 36¢ | 84¢ | +$40 |
Will Vander Loubet win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?Politics | No | $60 | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$8 |
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | Yes | $60 | 47¢ | 53¢ | +$7 |
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | Yes | $60 | 53¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | No | $60 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 8.5¢ | 34¢ | +$44 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 24¢ | 99¢ | +$44 |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | No | $60 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?Politics | No | $60 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Economy | No | $30 | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?Politics | Over | $30 | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$22 |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 48¢ | 81¢ | +$20 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 50¢ | 71¢ | +$13 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 65¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $30 | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$12 |
Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $42 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthony Lavoie win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | No | $30 | 70¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 0–5%?Politics | No | $30 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $30 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Politics | M | $15 | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 67¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$6 |
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $30 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $36 | 36¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$5 |
Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 81¢ | +$22 |
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?Politics | Yes | $12 | 33¢ | 86¢ | +$19 |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $30 | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
Will Mohamed Chaouki be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Politics | No | $30 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$9 |
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$9 |
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 75¢ | 67¢ | -$3 |
Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 48¢ | +$10 |
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Weather | No | $18 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Politics | No | $23 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $15 | 25¢ | 40¢ | +$9 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 59¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | No | $18 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $15 | 57¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 58¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 61¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $15 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 40¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Economy | No | $16 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $15 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Politics | Yes | $30 | 65¢ | 28¢ | -$17 |
Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$7 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $23 | 9.1¢ | 4.6¢ | -$12 |
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $15 | 61¢ | 35¢ | -$6 |
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $14 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Politics | No | $10 | 44¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
Will Janaina Riva win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?Weather | Yes | $10 | 8.8¢ | 2.5¢ | -$7 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | Yes | $17 | 35¢ | 5.3¢ | -$14 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 8.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$13 |
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $135 | 36¢ | 0.4¢ | -$133 |