 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 39¢ | 99¢ | +$46 |
| Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 15¢ | 98¢ | +$56 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Politics | Yes | $55 | 84¢ | 75¢ | -$6 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $40 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$8 |
| Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?Politics | Yes | $30 | 51¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $30 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 98¢ | +$31 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 63¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $30 | 54¢ | 73¢ | +$10 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $20 | 45¢ | 80¢ | +$15 |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 98¢ | +$25 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$15 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?Politics | No | $30 | 56¢ | 62¢ | +$3 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 74¢ | 57¢ | -$9 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $30 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Economy | Yes | $30 | 75¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | Yes | $28 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $30 | 47¢ | 41¢ | -$4 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $27 | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $30 | 70¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$5 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Economy | Yes | $10 | 6.0¢ | 15¢ | +$15 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $30 | 45¢ | 35¢ | -$7 |
| Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $30 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
 Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Politics | Yes | $20 | 43¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $15 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$7 |
| Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?Tech | Yes | $20 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $20 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | No | $20 | 50¢ | 30¢ | -$8 |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 22¢ | 9.3¢ | -$12 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | Yes | $10 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $10 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $8 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | Yes | $20 | 23¢ | 6.3¢ | -$15 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $8 | 6.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 3.9¢ | -$7 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?Economy | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 3.6¢ | -$16 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 4.9¢ | 2.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Economy | Yes | $4 | 3.8¢ | 2.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in July?Economy | Yes | $5 | 3.4¢ | 1.4¢ | -$3 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $8 | 9.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$6 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$02d ago
Cashed out No · Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?$03d ago