RolandChang

Predicting since Sep 2024710 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $11K on Tech markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $4.9K riding on Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$3.8K	97¢	96¢	-$27
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$2.3K	98¢	98¢	+$9
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$733	81¢	88¢	+$55
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?Tech	No	$716	92¢	97¢	+$38
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$400	56¢	76¢	+$143
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	No	$555	86¢	81¢	-$30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$503	72¢	71¢	-$10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$346	87¢	87¢	+$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	No	$258	86¢	87¢	+$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$208	52¢	53¢	+$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	No	$158	79¢	89¢	+$19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$185	53¢	48¢	-$17
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech	Yes	$151	75¢	75¢	-$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$64	20¢	16¢	-$12
Astra removed from public access by September 30?Tech	No	$33	93¢	96¢	+$1
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics	Yes	$40	10.0¢	6.1¢	-$16
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$17	1.7¢	1.6¢	-$2
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$7	0.7¢	0.9¢	+$2
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$4	0.4¢	0.1¢	-$2
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?Finance	DownResolved	$96	41¢	0.0¢	-$96
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$44	21¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$14	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$14
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$4.2K	68¢	0.0¢	-$4.2K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$114	57¢	0.0¢	-$114
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Finance	UpResolved	$137	68¢	0.0¢	-$137
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$763	77¢	0.0¢	-$763
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$1.4K	69¢	0.0¢	-$1.4K
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?Tech	NoResolved	$57	79¢	0.0¢	-$57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?Finance	DownResolved	$1	46¢	0.0¢	-$1
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Finance	DownResolved	$113	49¢	0.0¢	-$113
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Politics	YesResolved	$245	19¢	0.0¢	-$245
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather	NoResolved	$1.8K	95¢	0.0¢	-$1.8K
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Tech	YesResolved	$280	73¢	0.0¢	-$280
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics	YesResolved	$4.9K	97¢	0.0¢	-$4.9K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?Finance	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?Finance	UpResolved	$69	46¢	0.0¢	-$69
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?Politics	YesResolved	$8	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$8
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?Finance	UpResolved	$100	50¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Politics	YesResolved	$24	11¢	0.0¢	-$24

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$11K

Politics+$10K

Weather-$2.2K

World Cup+$2.1K

Mentions+$1.6K

Soccer (other)-$851

NFL+$779

Finance+$594

Culture+$587

NHL+$246

NBA+$224

Boxing+$218

Biggest hit

+$2.4K

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Toughest beat

-$6.1K

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1726m ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$241h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1729h ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$5312h ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$5716h ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$7616h ago
Bought Yes · Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$1816h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9619h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9619h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9619h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9619h ago
Bought No · Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9620h ago