RolandChang

Predicting since Sep 2024637 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $7.8K riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics	No	$7.8K	97¢	99¢	+$191
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics	Yes	$2.4K	95¢	96¢	+$12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	No	$2.2K	86¢	86¢	-$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	No	$1.6K	80¢	80¢	+$3
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	No	$1.3K	57¢	57¢	+$4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	43¢	43¢	-$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	No	$860	86¢	88¢	+$15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	No	$726	73¢	73¢	+$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$490	93¢	96¢	+$18
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$400	56¢	56¢	+$4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$394	20¢	20¢	-$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$289	14¢	14¢	+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$273	27¢	27¢	-$3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$170	20¢	20¢	-$0
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?Tech	Yes	$123	91¢	97¢	+$7
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$139	14¢	12¢	-$14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$14	7.2¢	19¢	+$24
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech	No	$10	2.9¢	2.1¢	-$3
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech	Yes	$5	9.1¢	7.6¢	-$1
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$44	21¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup	YesResolved	$114	57¢	0.0¢	-$114
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Finance	UpResolved	$137	68¢	0.0¢	-$137
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$763	77¢	0.0¢	-$763
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World Cup	YesResolved	$1.4K	69¢	0.0¢	-$1.4K
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?Finance	DownResolved	$1	46¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Politics	YesResolved	$245	19¢	0.0¢	-$245
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather	NoResolved	$1.8K	95¢	0.0¢	-$1.8K
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?Finance	UpResolved	$250	50¢	0.0¢	-$250
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?Finance	UpResolved	$69	46¢	0.0¢	-$69
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?Finance	UpResolved	$101	50¢	0.0¢	-$101
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Politics	YesResolved	$24	11¢	0.0¢	-$24

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15K

Tech-$4.3K

Weather-$2.2K

World Cup+$2.1K

Mentions+$1.4K

Soccer (other)-$997

Finance+$801

NFL+$779

Culture+$587

NHL+$246

NBA+$224

Boxing+$218

Biggest hit

+$2.0K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$6.1K

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$227h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$18h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$1312h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$18814h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$116h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$217h ago
Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$6091d ago
Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$9621d ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1301d ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1231d ago
Bought Yes · Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$201d ago
Bought Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4291d ago