| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 54¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $15 | 16¢ | 23¢ | +$7 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $15 | 53¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 72¢ | 58¢ | -$4 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 58¢ | 87¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 30¢ | 15¢ | -$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $14 | 61¢ | 38¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $6 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $9 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $9 | 65¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 67¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 39¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 2.6¢ | 0.8¢ | -$8 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?Finance | NoResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $21 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Sold No · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$11d ago