Convex79

Predicting since Apr 2026792 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.4K on World Cup markets since Apr 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather	Yes	$128	0.8¢	1.8¢	+$147
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Politics	Yes	$50	0.9¢	0.9¢	-$4
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics	No	$20	6.0¢	9.5¢	+$12
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$30	0.9¢	0.9¢	-$2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	No	$21	0.9¢	0.7¢	-$5
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	0.4¢	0.4¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$65	5.7¢	0.7¢	-$57
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto	Yes	$5	4.0¢	5.5¢	+$2
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	1.1¢	1.1¢	-$0
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.6¢	0.3¢	-$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$7	0.3¢	0.1¢	-$4
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.5¢	0.1¢	-$7
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	1.0¢	1.7¢	+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto	Yes	$4	0.8¢	0.5¢	-$1
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.6¢	0.1¢	-$7
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.6¢	0.1¢	-$7
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.6¢	0.1¢	-$7
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$10	0.6¢	0.1¢	-$7
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	Yes	$1	1.0¢	2.5¢	+$1
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?Politics	Yes	$27	0.8¢	0.1¢	-$25
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$4	0.6¢	0.3¢	-$2
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	0.5¢	0.6¢	+$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	1.0¢	1.1¢	+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$10	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$12	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$5	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$15	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$2.4K

Politics-$1.7K

Finance-$1.5K

Formula 1+$895

NBA+$579

eSports-$340

Tennis-$273

MLB-$151

Golf-$144

Crypto+$138

Tech+$134

Economy+$106

Biggest hit

+$1.6K

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Toughest beat

-$510

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$934m ago
Sold No · Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$01h ago
Sold Yes · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1413h ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$54h ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$184h ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$204h ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$204h ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$24h ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$05h ago
Cashed out No · Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$05h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$05h ago
Cashed out Teah Chavez · ITF Saskatoon: Ariana Arseneault vs Teah Chavez$05h ago