arbman69

Predicting since Jan 2026155 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Matthew Golden have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL	No	$8	40¢	35¢	-$1
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 30%-35%?Politics	Yes	$6	29¢	25¢	-$1
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Politics	Yes	$5	28¢	25¢	-$1
Will Shas win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics	Yes	$5	27¢	14¢	-$3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Politics	Yes	$5	24¢	14¢	-$2
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture	Yes	$4	18¢	9.8¢	-$2
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q3 2026Tech	Yes	$3	17¢	8.0¢	-$2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 55%-60%?Politics	Yes	$3	14¢	7.0¢	-$1
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics	Yes	$4	20¢	6.5¢	-$3
Will "Best of the Best" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture	No	$2	9.0¢	6.5¢	-$1
Will Ermedin Demirovic be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Soccer (other)	Yes	$4	22¢	5.6¢	-$3
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 18%-21%?Politics	Yes	$4	20¢	5.5¢	-$3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	12¢	5.5¢	-$1
Will David Strelec be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Soccer (other)	Yes	$4	21¢	5.1¢	-$3
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 14?Weather	NoResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$7	37¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Finance	NoResolved	$3	15¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?Mentions	NoResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$492	24¢	0.0¢	-$492
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 25?Weather	NoResolved	$3	14¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 14?Weather	YesResolved	$2	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$490

Politics-$90

Economy-$18

Culture-$18

Soccer (other)-$17

Mentions-$11

Tech-$10

Finance-$8

Weather-$7

Champions League-$5

eSports-$3

NFL-$2

Biggest hit

+$12

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$21m ago
Bought No · Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$04m ago
Bought No · Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$24m ago
Bought No · Will "Best of the Best" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$21h ago
Sold Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%?$28h ago
Sold Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?$210h ago
Sold Yes · Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?$511h ago
Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?$211h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?$413h ago
Sold Yes · Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?$513h ago
Bought Yes · Will Jordan Mason be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?$015h ago
Bought Yes · Will Jordan Mason be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?$215h ago