← Whale Watch

Pollyna

Predicting since May 20253,582 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.4K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $564 across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jasmine Paolini win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?EconomyYesResolved$623¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump announce Elon Musk to replace Kugler?PoliticsYesResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will McLaren achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Knicks hire Rick Carlisle as their next head coach?NBAYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 13?CryptoYesResolved$78.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?eSportsYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$71.6¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 26 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?TechYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win the UEFA Women's Euro?Soccer (other)YesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3400 on July 20 at 5PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B?CryptoYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2025 Tournament?eSportsYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,500 and $111,000 on September 10 at 12PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$17.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 23?CryptoYesResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will HEROIC win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?eSportsYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3800 on September 10?CryptoYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$9833¢0.0¢-$98
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 16?CryptoYesResolved$42.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will CF Monterrey win the FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$120.9¢0.0¢-$12
Jessica Ramos gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$71.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sebastian Ofner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Adam Hendrix win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?Other sportsYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Corentin Moutet win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Félix González come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Marie Bouzkova win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jack Doohan finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tatjana Maria win the 2025 WTA Montreal tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?Other sportsYesResolved$81.3¢0.0¢-$8
Will F1 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?TechYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will France win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Basketball (other)YesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$22.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 31?CryptoYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$108.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Yuki Tsunoda finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$23.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will 'Thunderbolts*' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 12?CryptoYesResolved$1075.8¢0.0¢-$107
Will the Knicks hire Mark Jackson as their next head coach?NBAYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 12?CryptoYesResolved$1075.8¢0.0¢-$107
Selma Bartholomew gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$71.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$44.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 16?CryptoYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Poland win the UEFA Women's Euro?Soccer (other)YesResolved$42.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will JIP hold the second most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Lance Stroll finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?CultureNoResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will a club from Oceania win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1312¢0.0¢-$13
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$63.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?Basketball (other)YesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?TechYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$223.1¢0.0¢-$22
Will Lance Stroll finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$23.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 1 straight week?CultureYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Aleksandar Kovacevic win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?EconomyYesResolved$623¢0.0¢-$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104,000 on September 15?CryptoYesResolved$17.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Liam Lawson finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1OtherYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Italy win the UEFA Women's Euro?Soccer (other)YesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2311¢0.0¢-$23
Will Francisco Comesana win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will a club from Africa win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1312¢0.0¢-$13
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?Formula 1YesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?Formula 1YesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yunchaokete Bu win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?TennisYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Will Barbora Krejcikova win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?CultureYesResolved$33.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on September 13?CryptoYesResolved$04.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Zizou Bergs win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Adam Walton win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on January 31?CryptoYesResolved$610¢0.0¢-$6
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30?TechYesResolved$237.1¢0.0¢-$23
Will Cameron Norrie win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?TennisYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will MIBR win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?eSportsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$283.4¢0.0¢-$28
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?CultureYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 1?CryptoNoResolved$637¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$63.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Dua Lipa be the top Spotify artist for 2025?CultureYesResolved$92.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?EconomyYesResolved$6112¢0.0¢-$61
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 10 straight weeks?CultureYesResolved$05.2¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.4K
Crypto-$1.3K
Culture-$419
Formula 1-$305
Tech-$216
Tennis-$192
Soccer (other)-$93
Economy-$76
Other-$76
Other sports-$57
eSports-$52
Weather-$25
Biggest hit
+$891
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Toughest beat
-$889
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$02mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$02mo ago