 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 7.3¢ | 1.3¢ | -$164 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 23¢ | 1.3¢ | -$95 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $250 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the announcement on December 22?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bitcoin above $114K on August 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $190 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$190 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 29?Crypto | YesResolved | $17 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $977 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$977 |
 Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Politics | YesResolved | $6.0K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.0K |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 29?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $74 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Syria" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "F-35" during events with Turkish president on September 25?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics | YesResolved | $94 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Trump say "Trump" during events with Polish president on September 3?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
| Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?Tech | YesResolved | $101 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
 Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $88 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $258 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$258 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?$2703d ago
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$2054d ago
Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1724d ago