Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$71 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 31¢ | 6.5¢ | -$24 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $30 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | -$26 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $30 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $15 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
xAI IPO before 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Other sports | YesResolved | $5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $50 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $60 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |