Ivan6868wtf

Predicting since Apr 202665 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics	No	$3	50¢	67¢	+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$2	23¢	23¢	-$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	No	$2	82¢	76¢	-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$2	11¢	11¢	-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	23¢	20¢	-$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture	Yes	$1	67¢	94¢	+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	Yes	$1	14¢	17¢	+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$1	54¢	59¢	+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$1	5.5¢	5.5¢	+$0
Will Hegseth say "This President" during press conference?Mentions	YesResolved	$2	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Mark Rutte say "Conflict" during his speech on April 9?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	81¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?Culture	NoResolved	$1	29¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	64¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?Politics	YesResolved	$6	25¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$12	27¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Finance	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2	36¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will JD Vance say "Slovakia" during meetings with Orbán?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 63 million views on day 4?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $100–$110 on April 8?Finance	YesResolved	$1	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	40¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$10

Culture-$7

Mentions-$7

Politics+$3

Crypto+$2

Formula 1-$1

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$14

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$4

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4?

Recent moves

Bought No · Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?$32h ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$12h ago
Bought Yes · Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$13h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$21d ago
Bought No · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$21d ago
Bought Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$11d ago