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probablynotyourmom
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$156
Biggest hit
+$12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$25
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Recent moves
- Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$64mo ago
Sold Yes · China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$1014mo ago
Sold No · Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$624mo ago
Sold Yes · Kurds declare independence from Iran?$114mo ago- Sold Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$274mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$314mo ago- Bought Yes · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$504mo ago
Sold Yes · House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?$114mo ago- Sold Yes · Kurds declare independence from Iran?$204mo ago
- Bought No · Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$504mo ago
- Bought No · Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?$504mo ago
- Bought Yes · Kurds declare independence from Iran?$504mo ago