bundleofsticks

Predicting since Mar 2026115 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	75¢	100¢	+$3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	32¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics	YesResolved	$10	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$6
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	30¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$6
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Politics	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics	YesResolved	$5	43¢	0.0¢	-$5
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$60	31¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics	YesResolved	$20	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics	YesResolved	$20	16¢	0.0¢	-$20
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Politics	YesResolved	$25	23¢	0.0¢	-$25
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	36¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$6
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$6
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	70¢	0.0¢	-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	37¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics	YesResolved	$5	24¢	0.0¢	-$5
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	70¢	0.0¢	-$10
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics	YesResolved	$5	22¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$293

Finance-$13

Biggest hit

+$24

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Toughest beat

-$26

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$03mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$03mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$183mo ago
Bought Yes · Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$103mo ago