← Whale Watch

Ragged-Hardboard

Predicting since Nov 20211,085 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.4K on MLB markets since Nov 2021.

Right now: $1.4K riding on Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?CryptoNoResolved$100100¢100¢+$0
Wyoming vs. HawaiiOther sportsWyomingResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? TechNoResolved$1129¢0.0¢-$11
Chargers vs. ChiefsNFLChiefsResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?TechYesResolved$282¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$190¢0.0¢-$1
Utah State vs. Fresno StateOther sportsFresno StateResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Final Stage: Italy vs. VenezuelaBaseball (other)ItalyResolved$20537¢0.0¢-$205
Cardinals vs. TexansNFLCardinalsResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Colts vs. SeahawksNFLColtsResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Wizards vs. BullsNBAWizardsResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Commanders vs. GiantsNFLGiantsResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Spurs vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Pistons vs. HeatNBAHeatResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Titans vs. 49ersNFLTitansResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 3?FinanceUpResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Pelicans vs. LakersNBAPelicansResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$1029¢0.0¢-$10
Suns vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$167¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$58.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 30?CryptoNoResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?EconomyNo ChangeResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?TechYesResolved$292¢0.0¢-$2
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$274¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$46.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2520¢0.0¢-$25
Clippers vs. TimberwolvesNBAClippersResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Rockets vs. JazzNBARocketsResolved$184¢0.0¢-$1
Charlotte 49ers vs. GeorgiaOther sportsCharlotte 49ersResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Grizzlies vs. ClippersNBAClippersResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Nets vs. BucksNBANetsResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$199¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?CryptoNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Falcons vs. JetsNFLFalconsResolved$158¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Kings vs. HeatNBAHeatResolved$169¢0.0¢-$1
Trail Blazers vs. MavericksNBATrail BlazersResolved$252¢0.0¢-$2
Eagles vs. CowboysNFLEaglesResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 8?FinanceUpResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Lakers vs. CelticsNBALakersResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Texans vs. ColtsNFLColtsResolved$164¢0.0¢-$1
Bills vs. PatriotsNFLPatriotsResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?CryptoNoResolved$57.7¢0.0¢-$5
Panthers vs. 49ersNFLPanthersResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 24-30?CryptoYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$208.3¢0.0¢-$20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 1?CryptoNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Jazz vs. NetsNBANetsResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
Mavericks vs. JazzNBAMavericksResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?MentionsNoResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Bills vs. TexansNFLBillsResolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 20?CryptoNoResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 24?FinanceDownResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$179¢0.0¢-$1
Rutgers vs. Ohio StateOther sportsRutgersResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Jets vs. RavensNFLJetsResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Knicks vs. HeatNBAKnicksResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 24-30?CryptoYesResolved$33.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (December 1 - 7)MentionsNoResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$194¢0.0¢-$1
Jets vs. JaguarsNFLJetsResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesNBATrail BlazersResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Tulsa vs. ArmyOther sportsArmyResolved$178¢0.0¢-$1
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USABaseball (other)Dominican Rep.Resolved$1.4K51¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 24?FinanceDownResolved$85.6¢0.0¢-$8
Vikings vs. SeahawksNFLVikingsResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Raptors vs. HeatNBAHeatResolved$167¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)eSportsT1Resolved$171¢0.0¢-$1
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$550.5¢0.0¢-$55
Buccaneers vs. RamsNFLBuccaneersResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Bulls vs. PacersNBABullsResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPoliticsNoResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
US national XRP reserve in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Stars vs. FlamesNHLStarsResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?CultureYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?CryptoYesResolved$165¢0.0¢-$1
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??FinanceYesResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Bulls vs. NuggetsNBANuggetsResolved$189¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

MLB-$9.4K
eSports+$2.7K
Baseball (other)-$1.6K
Politics-$1.5K
Crypto-$593
Economy-$58
Tech-$28
Other sports+$17
NFL-$14
Finance-$13
Formula 1-$10
NBA-$7
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Toughest beat
-$3.2K
Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$1001mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$501mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$501mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$503mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$503mo ago
  • Bought Italy · Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela$2054mo ago
  • Bought Dominican Rep. · Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA$1004mo ago
  • Bought Dominican Rep. · Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA$1004mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$14mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?$14mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$14mo ago
  • Sold No · Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$14mo ago