← Whale Watch

turtle123

Predicting since Aug 20241,208 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $10K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $15K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$7.5K50¢80¢+$4.5K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3.0K74¢81¢+$287
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$7.5K50¢20¢-$4.5K
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$93093¢98¢+$53
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$78078¢97¢+$193
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$37037¢27¢-$105
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$21791¢100¢+$21
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$22773¢68¢-$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$14673¢99¢+$53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$15678¢85¢+$13
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$13095¢96¢+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$15418¢13¢-$43
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$10351¢49¢-$5
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$6666¢95¢+$29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$9387¢85¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9090¢89¢-$2
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechYes$9292¢85¢-$8
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$5050¢81¢+$31
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$7575¢80¢+$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7170¢79¢+$9
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?PoliticsNo$7183¢89¢+$5
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$176.4¢14¢+$21
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechNo$2595¢97¢+$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$23.0¢37¢+$23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1786¢95¢+$2
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1574¢93¢+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?CryptoYes$300.6¢0.4¢-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8148¢7.5¢-$68
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$1189¢85¢-$1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$1097¢98¢+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1098¢98¢+$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$1095¢98¢+$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$992¢97¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$1717¢9.5¢-$7
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$987¢93¢+$1
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$105.0¢4.5¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$2821¢4.8¢-$21
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$29.0¢20¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$331¢33¢+$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$880¢32¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?CryptoYes$301.5¢0.1¢-$28
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?CryptoYes$19.0¢14¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$361¢25¢-$2
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$326¢12¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$10K
Culture-$6.8K
Crypto+$5.6K
Mentions-$4.4K
Tech+$2.1K
eSports+$1.8K
NFL-$1.3K
Finance-$427
Other sports-$136
Other-$92
UFC / MMA+$86
Economy+$85
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?
Toughest beat
-$5.5K
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$19021h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$24022h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$4822h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$38422h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$122h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$122h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$9622h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$6981d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$41d ago