 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $151 | 12¢ | 23¢ | +$132 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $98 | 12¢ | 22¢ | +$77 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $195 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$34 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $93 | 21¢ | 36¢ | +$65 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $79 | 39¢ | 77¢ | +$77 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $88 | 21¢ | 36¢ | +$61 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | No | $138 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$6 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $64 | 35¢ | 69¢ | +$63 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 20¢ | 96¢ | +$93 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $111 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$12 |
 Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $92 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$6 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | No | $137 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$38 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | Yes | $195 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$98 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $119 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$26 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $84 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | No | $93 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$14 |
 Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Politics | No | $135 | 12¢ | 7.2¢ | -$56 |
 Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?Politics | No | $87 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $83 | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$9 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | No | $116 | 21¢ | 12¢ | -$50 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $52 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | No | $28 | 38¢ | 69¢ | +$23 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $43 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $25 | 46¢ | 80¢ | +$19 |
| Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 53¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 49¢ | 86¢ | +$18 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Tech | No | $78 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$36 |
| Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other | YesResolved | $24 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
| Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other | NoResolved | $24 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 53¢ | 83¢ | +$14 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 64¢ | 93¢ | +$11 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $62 | 56¢ | 31¢ | -$27 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | No | $33 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | Yes | $58 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$28 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $36 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Culture | No | $24 | 70¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $24 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 31¢ | 12¢ | -$42 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $40 | 60¢ | 37¢ | -$15 |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $25 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?Politics | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | No | $41 | 12¢ | 7.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | No | $24 | 71¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $24 | 66¢ | 55¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $24 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
 Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $18 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $24 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $17 | 37¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 70¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | No | $17 | 59¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $31 | 67¢ | 38¢ | -$13 |
 Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | No | $12 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$5 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $24 | 61¢ | 39¢ | -$9 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | No | $24 | 77¢ | 49¢ | -$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 86¢ | 46¢ | -$11 |
 Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Politics | No | $10 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $7 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $24 | 49¢ | 13¢ | -$18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 17¢ | 6.2¢ | -$9 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 10¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $1 | 47¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $1 | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $1 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $36 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |