 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11K | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$522 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9.7K | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$421 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $7.6K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$557 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $4.8K | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$659 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5.2K | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$163 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $3.5K | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$531 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $1.9K | 48¢ | 95¢ | +$1.9K |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $3.2K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$358 |
 Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$137 |
| Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$65 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$204 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $1.3K | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$302 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $964 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$202 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?Finance | No | $963 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$201 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $963 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$27 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $942 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $892 | 89¢ | 82¢ | -$69 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $817 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $589 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$191 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?Finance | No | $456 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$123 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $500 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$70 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $388 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$74 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?Finance | No | $299 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?Finance | No | $277 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $409 | 91¢ | 57¢ | -$153 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $205 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$29 |
 Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?Politics | No | $155 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$20 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?Finance | No | $151 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by July 31?Finance | No | $131 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by July 31?Crypto | No | $137 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $123 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | No | $121 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $100 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $85 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $85 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$14 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?Finance | No | $79 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$19 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Finance | No | $69 | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$27 |
| Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $75 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?Crypto | No | $88 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 7.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$15 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?Politics | No | $76 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $60 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $60 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | No | $86 | 86¢ | 69¢ | -$18 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by July 31?Finance | No | $42 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by July 31?Crypto | No | $51 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?Tech | No | $84 | 84¢ | 52¢ | -$32 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $51 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $44 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$6 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?Finance | No | $30 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?Finance | No | $36 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?Finance | No | $33 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $39 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
 Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $64 | 80¢ | 46¢ | -$27 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?Finance | No | $25 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $116 | 81¢ | 18¢ | -$90 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $22 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?Finance | No | $17 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | No | $19 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Politics | Yes | $71 | 2.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$53 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $73 | 6.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$56 |
| Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $46 | 19¢ | 4.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | Yes | $11 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Tech | No | $6 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $0 | 1.0¢ | 15¢ | +$5 |
 Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?Culture | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Tech | Yes | $9 | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$7 |