 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $9 | 40¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 59¢ | 47¢ | -$2 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | Yes | $18 | 56¢ | 17¢ | -$13 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 3.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Politics | Yes | $8 | 46¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $7 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Odsonne Edouard: Anytime GoalscorerSoccer (other) | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $3 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld Cup | NoResolved | $11 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?Golf | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Gordon Sargent finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 3M Open?Golf | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?World Cup | NoResolved | $10 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |