WaterFloww

Predicting since Oct 20252,024 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.9K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Politics	No	$138	95¢	95¢	+$0
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$30	30¢	100¢	+$70
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$83	83¢	88¢	+$5
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	No	$83	83¢	87¢	+$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	Yes	$68	20¢	24¢	+$14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$44	44¢	56¢	+$13
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$42	21¢	23¢	+$4
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$36	24¢	26¢	+$2
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics	Yes	$33	21¢	24¢	+$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	Yes	$40	20¢	17¢	-$6
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	Yes	$48	28¢	20¢	-$15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$21	4.2¢	5.5¢	+$7
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics	No	$22	54¢	60¢	+$2
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics	Yes	$40	27¢	16¢	-$17
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto	Yes	$46	43¢	21¢	-$23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics	Yes	$49	12¢	4.8¢	-$30
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics	Yes	$55	53¢	17¢	-$37
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics	Yes	$24	6.0¢	4.0¢	-$8
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	15¢	14¢	-$1
Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$6	31¢	56¢	+$5
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$9	36¢	37¢	+$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics	Yes	$10	5.0¢	4.7¢	-$1
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$14	0.9¢	0.5¢	-$5
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$33	22¢	5.5¢	-$25
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$9	9.0¢	7.0¢	-$2
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$3	3.0¢	4.5¢	+$2
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	7.0¢	5.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$7	11¢	4.5¢	-$4
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Politics	Yes	$20	20¢	2.6¢	-$17
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$8	12¢	4.0¢	-$5
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance	Yes	$50	17¢	0.4¢	-$49

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.9K

Culture+$473

World Cup+$192

Finance-$159

Other sports+$149

Other+$148

Tech-$122

NFL+$108

Crypto-$93

Soccer (other)+$86

Boxing+$74

Champions League+$19

Biggest hit

+$580

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$500

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$188m ago
Cashed out Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?$030m ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$41h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$23h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$23h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?$103h ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?$13h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$04h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$194h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$14h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$14h ago
Bought Yes · Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?$124h ago