← Whale Watch

RuggedByMyself

Predicting since Oct 20251,859 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$12230¢49¢+$72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$8113¢16¢+$13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8383¢86¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8383¢86¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$4530¢43¢+$18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6225¢25¢-$2
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$5637¢38¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$4444¢44¢-$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$3131¢33¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$2525¢28¢+$3
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2513¢13¢+$1
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?PoliticsYes$279.0¢8.0¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$246.0¢5.0¢-$4
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$1515¢18¢+$3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$239.2¢7.0¢-$5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$206.8¢4.0¢-$8
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1313¢8.5¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$66.0¢8.5¢+$3
Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12.0¢4.0¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$80.4¢0.1¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$399
Politics+$122
Soccer (other)+$115
Crypto-$39
Champions League+$22
Mentions+$20
Premier League+$16
Other-$6
Economy-$5
Culture+$5
La Liga+$5
MLS-$4
Biggest hit
+$89
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Toughest beat
-$384
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$123h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$1011h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?$10011h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?$414h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1314h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?$1314h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?$114h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4517h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2017h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$5217h ago
  • Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$1617h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$417h ago