← Whale Watch

0x506f5a39Bc501D90D16AE626FD83964e89f95262-1758833535430

Predicting since Sep 2025116 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$99.0¢5.5¢-$4
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsYes$44.8¢2.1¢-$2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$42.7¢0.0¢-$4
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?PoliticsYesResolved$1963¢0.0¢-$19
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$158.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$447¢0.0¢-$4
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$73.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$85.4¢0.0¢-$8
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionPoliticsNoResolved$54.7¢0.0¢-$5
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31CultureYesResolved$1620¢0.0¢-$16
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?PoliticsNoResolved$2029¢0.0¢-$20
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1619¢0.0¢-$16
US strike on Cuba by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$4025¢0.0¢-$40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.4¢0.0¢-$1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$939¢0.0¢-$9
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionWeatherNoResolved$723¢0.0¢-$7
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$59.8¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$94.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$90.8¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?MentionsYesResolved$850¢0.0¢-$8
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$422.7¢0.0¢-$42
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$36.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$1223¢0.0¢-$12
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$54.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$74.5¢0.0¢-$7
Andrii Yermak arrested by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$65.9¢0.0¢-$6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$1456¢0.0¢-$14
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?PoliticsYesResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$25.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$632¢0.0¢-$6
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?PoliticsNoResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.5¢0.0¢-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2022¢0.0¢-$20
Grokipedia released by October 31?TechNoResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
TikTok sale announced by September 30?TechYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1934¢0.0¢-$19
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$2255¢0.0¢-$22
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?PoliticsYesResolved$82.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$94.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?TechNoResolved$157.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?PoliticsYesResolved$52.9¢0.0¢-$5
Netanyahu out by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$164.4¢0.0¢-$16
Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$158.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$109.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$178.4¢0.0¢-$17
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$236.9¢0.0¢-$23
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$33.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?PoliticsYesResolved$48.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$93.6¢0.0¢-$9
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$88.4¢0.0¢-$8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$924.7¢0.0¢-$92
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$53.6¢0.0¢-$5
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$346.8¢0.0¢-$34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$81.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?PoliticsYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?MentionsYesResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$218.6¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?PoliticsNoResolved$57.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?PoliticsYesResolved$2416¢0.0¢-$24
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechYesResolved$950¢0.0¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$763
Tech-$32
Mentions-$18
Culture-$16
Weather-$7
Other sports-$5
Biggest hit
+$104
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$61
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Netanyahu out by March 31?$164mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$64mo ago
  • Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$24mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$04mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$54mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$54mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US strike on Cuba by March 31?$64mo ago
  • Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$224mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$04mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$04mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$24mo ago