← Whale Watch

DoubleKellogs

Predicting since Oct 202554 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $18K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $11K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.3K on Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11022¢0.0¢-$110
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$662.2¢0.0¢-$66
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10139¢0.0¢-$101
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.0K54¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22811¢0.0¢-$228
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$23319¢0.0¢-$233
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsYesResolved$5.1K29¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$62915¢0.0¢-$629
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$69812¢0.0¢-$698
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$79714¢0.0¢-$797
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$31322¢0.0¢-$313
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5.9K47¢0.0¢-$5.9K
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K40¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$13467¢0.0¢-$134
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$63926¢0.0¢-$639
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$75948¢0.0¢-$759
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$23213¢0.0¢-$232
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4.3K76¢0.0¢-$4.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$18K
Weather+$2.2K
Biggest hit
+$4.3K
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Toughest beat
-$2.1K
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$5867mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$2607mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$1237mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$37mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$5467mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$6567mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$3207mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$9058mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.1K8mo ago
  • Sold No · US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$2408mo ago
  • Sold No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$6.0K8mo ago
  • Bought Yes · NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$128mo ago