← Whale Watch

Soroban

Predicting since May 20261,658 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.9K on Crypto markets since May 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$650¢50¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$136¢82¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1750¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2753¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$1065¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2457¢0.0¢-$24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2052¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3050¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 18?WeatherYesResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1250¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1553¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3550¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1753¢0.0¢-$17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?WeatherYesResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?WeatherYesResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?WeatherNoResolved$1059¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 24?WeatherYesResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?WeatherNoResolved$1082¢0.0¢-$10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 15?WeatherYesResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?WeatherYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$651¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1650¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Solana Up or Down - July 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$4855¢0.0¢-$48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?WeatherNoResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?WeatherNoResolved$1087¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1754¢0.0¢-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1550¢0.0¢-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?WeatherYesResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 26?WeatherYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5255¢0.0¢-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4951¢0.0¢-$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1551¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3554¢0.0¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?WeatherNoResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1854¢0.0¢-$18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?WeatherYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$851¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 16?WeatherNoResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 18?WeatherYesResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?WeatherYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2752¢0.0¢-$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3052¢0.0¢-$30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1255¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2555¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?WeatherNoResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$651¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$5053¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 14?WeatherNoResolved$365¢0.0¢-$3
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 23?WeatherYesResolved$231¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?WeatherYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4350¢0.0¢-$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1085¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1851¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1855¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 25?WeatherYesResolved$234¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3953¢0.0¢-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1952¢0.0¢-$19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on July 15?WeatherYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?FinanceNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3355¢0.0¢-$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3054¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 22?WeatherYesResolved$355¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4152¢0.0¢-$41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?WeatherYesResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?WeatherYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 23?WeatherYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?WeatherNoResolved$1077¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2252¢0.0¢-$22
Solana Up or Down - July 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5255¢0.0¢-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1858¢0.0¢-$18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3054¢0.0¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?WeatherNoResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2152¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?WeatherNoResolved$248¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?WeatherYesResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$987¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?WeatherNoResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 24?WeatherYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on July 22?WeatherYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2655¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2255¢0.0¢-$22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?WeatherNoResolved$473¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 22?WeatherNoResolved$482¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 22?WeatherYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2955¢0.0¢-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$652¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$3.9K
Weather-$579
Finance+$7
Tech-$6
Politics-$4
Biggest hit
+$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Toughest beat
-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$102h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?$611h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 25?$513h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?$518h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?$520h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 25?$621h ago
  • Sold No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$111d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 24?$51d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 24?$51d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 24?$51d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 24?$51d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?$51d ago